Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 33

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Patinoire de l'Île Lacroix (Rouen)


	Rouen		Chamonix

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.75	6.50
	1.37	5.30	5.20
	1.31	5.60	6.20
	1.32	5.7	7	Watch
	1.29	5.50	6.10
	1.24	6.10	7.80
	1.28	5.60	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)	5.65 ↑ (5.52)	6.66 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rouen
70.1%

Draw
16.2%

Chamonix
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

16.6%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

17.8%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Chamonix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rouen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chamonix than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Rouen - Chamonix Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rouen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Mugnier L. (G)	29. Boudet B. (G)
73. Baptiste N.	16. Berard B.
10. Colomban R.	66. Broutin J.
93. Cormier T.	15. Convert L.
16. Goncalves-Nivelais N.	46. Durand C. (C)
14. Hansson P.	28. Eyre J.
2. Holway P.	27. Fortin J.
13. Lafrance S. (A)	10. Heikkinen J.
27. Lamperier L. (C)	7. Jeskanen V.
81. Lasch R.	8. Johansson A. T.
94. McClennon C.	5. Koponen S. (A)
6. Nesa V.	11. Lanes T.
44. Paquette J.	96. Lopachuk S.
11. Perret T.	61. Luciani A.
8. Quemion L.	56. Lunsjo A.
91. Ritz N. (A)	4. Trollet C.
5. Roy P.	19. Tugnutt M.
23. Shalei N.	80. Vainikainen V.
21. Simonsen T.	41. Ville G. (A)
Substitutes
30. Carruth M. (G)	30. Comte A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:46, 1 - 0, McClennon C. (G), Perret T. (A),
15:10, 2 - 0, McClennon C. (G), Perret T. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
10:03, 2 - 1, Vainikainen V. (G), Heikkinen J. (A), Koponen S. (A2)
10:19, 3 - 1, Baptiste N. (G),
15:16, 3 - 2, Lopachuk S. (G), Ville G. (A), Johansson A. T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:45, 3 - 3, Lopachuk S. (G), Ville G. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Tugnutt M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Baptiste N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Lopachuk S. (Penalty Shot),
2, Simonsen T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lanes T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Cormier T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Heikkinen J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Lafrance S. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rouen won 4.

Rouen arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Chamonix has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, Rouen enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rouen has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 94:52 (averaging 4.7:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rouen against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 46:26 goals (averaging 4.6:2.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Rouen	9	6	1	0	2	29:15	20
4	Chamonix Mont-Blanc	9	5	0	2	2	32:31	17

Last Results with these Odds

Rouen - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 69.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Chamonix - the odds 6.47 are the expected chance of winning is 14.19%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dragons de Rouen
French Ligue Magnus
04.10.26	Rouen - Anglet	5:2 ✺
02.10.26	Nice - Rouen	0:5 ✺
29.09.26	Rouen - Amiens	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Bordeaux - Rouen	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Rouen - Gap	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Chamonix HC
French Ligue Magnus
04.10.26	Chamonix - Nice	6:3 ✺
02.10.26	Bordeaux - Chamonix	8:1 ✺
29.09.26	Chamonix - Spartiates de Marseille	2:3 AET ✺
27.09.26	Briançon - Chamonix	0:3 ✺
25.09.26	Chamonix - Cergy-Pontoise	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
20.01.26	Rouen - Chamonix	5:1
11.01.26	Chamonix - Rouen	4:3 OT
French Hockey Cup
07.01.26	Rouen - Chamonix	4:3 penalties
French Ligue Magnus
19.11.25	Rouen - Chamonix	6:4
30.09.25	Chamonix - Rouen	1:5
24.01.25	Rouen - Chamonix	1:0
19.01.25	Chamonix - Rouen	2:4

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