Match Info

HockeyEttan Sodra - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	HockeyEttan TV


	Borås		Mariestad BoIS

	1	X	2
	2.34	3.75	2.39
	2.32	3.98	2.37
	2.34	4.14	2.39	Watch
	2.25	3.9	2.38
	2.3	4	2.36
	2.18	4.2	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.34)	4 ↓ (4.04)	2.4 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borås
39.6%

Draw
22.7%

Mariestad BoIS
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

22.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.2%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borås has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mariestad BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borås than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariestad BoIS than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Borås - Mariestad BoIS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:21, 1 - 0, Hirsch A. (G),
01:45, 2 - 0, Netterberg P. (G),
11:13, 2 - 1, Hakansson M. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:45, 2 - 2, Stark V. (G),
08:16, 2 - 3, Wennlund M. (G),
18:10, 3 - 3, Hirsch A. (G),
3rd Period (4 - 2)
08:04, 3 - 4, Umegard K. (G),
10:02, 4 - 4, Smedberg E. (G),
14:53, 5 - 4, Ek Koskela H. (G),
17:11, 6 - 4, Davidsson A. (G),
17:38, 7 - 4, Olsson O. (G),
19:25, 7 - 5, Wennlund M. (G),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borås won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Borås will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Borås won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 3.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Borås won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 3.7:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Boras	4	3	0	0	1	18:7	9
8	Mariestad	3	2	1	0	0	19:7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Mariestad BoIS - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.32%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borås HC
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
28.02.26	Borås - Tyringe	7:0 ✺
25.02.26	Borås - Mjölby	2:5 ✺
22.02.26	Halmstad - Borås	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Nyköping - Borås	1:5 ✺
15.02.26	Borås - Järfälla	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW
- Mariestad BoIS HC
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
28.02.26	Järfälla - Mariestad BoIS	2:9 ✺
25.02.26	Mariestad BoIS - Kungälv	8:1 ✺
22.02.26	Karlskrona - Mariestad BoIS	5:2 ✺
21.02.26	Mörrums GoIS - Mariestad BoIS	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mariestad BoIS - Hanvikens	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
04.02.26	Mariestad BoIS - Borås	4:2
21.11.25	Borås - Mariestad BoIS	2:5
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
29.01.25	Mariestad BoIS - Borås	3:4
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
28.12.24	Borås - Mariestad BoIS	4:2
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
02.11.24	Borås - Mariestad BoIS	5:2
21.09.24	Mariestad BoIS - Borås	2:4

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