Match Info

SHL - Round 4

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Monitor ERP Arena (Gävle)


	Brynäs		Luleå

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.50	3.00
	2.00	4.25	2.95
	1.87	4.35	3.35	Watch
	1.98	3.83	3.27
	1.95	4.14	3.19	Watch
	1.96	3.75	3.20
	1.93	4.25	3.23	Watch
	1.98	4.10	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2)	4.15 ↑ (3.99)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brynäs
47.8%

Draw
22.6%

Luleå
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

23.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brynäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brynäs than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Brynäs - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Chrona M. (G)	34. Lassinantti J. (G)
28. Kinnvall J.	27. Laaksonen O.
15. Bertilsson S.	29. Gustafsson E. (C)
33. Silfverberg J. (A)	72. Tardif B.
10. Larsson J. (C)	91. O'Neill B. (A)
81. Bellows K.	6. Hedqvist I.
Line 2
61. Rindell A.	23. Sellgren J. (A)
14. Hagg R.	82. Leskinen O.
18. Rodin A. (A)	51. Nurmi M.
9. Jarnkrok C.	45. Koppanen J.
23. Lindblom O.	76. Levtchi A.
Line 3
29. Andersson A.	26. Sjostrom O.
27. Norlinder M.	32. Engsund O.
12. Gauthier J.	48. Puustinen V.
11. Anderson-Dolan J.	96. Andreasson P.
8. Trivigno B.	86. Brome M.
Line 4
38. Hillstrom G.	39. Sjalin P.
36. Olund L. (A)	17. Brannstrom I.
71. Jonsson Fjallby A.	25. Eriksson F.
	20. Juustovaara Karlsson C.
Substitutes
34. Forslund C.	15. Granberg D.
31. Kallgren E. (G)	31. Ward M. (G)
Coaches
. Gallstedt N.	. Hall D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:33, 1 - 0, Bellows K. (G),
06:34, Nurmi M. (2 min),
12:27, Jarnkrok C. (2 min),
16:45, Engsund O. (2 min),
17:44, 2 - 0, Larsson J. (G), Silfverberg J. (A), Rindell A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:19, 2 - 1, Levtchi A. (G), Laaksonen O. (A), Nurmi M. (A2)
00:53, 3 - 1, Larsson J. (G), Silfverberg J. (A),
02:21, 3 - 2, Levtchi A. (G), Sjalin P. (A), Koppanen J. (A2)
12:15, Hagg R. (2 min),
12:15, Nurmi M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:46, 4 - 2, Gauthier J. (G), Norlinder M. (A), Andersson A. (A2)
06:59, Eriksson F. (2 min),
10:14, Levtchi A. (2 min),
19:59, Trivigno B. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brynäs won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Brynäs could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Brynäs has faced a series of away games on the road.

Brynäs is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Brynäs has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:64 (averaging 3.1:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brynäs against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 32:39 goals (averaging 3.2:3.9 per game).

Outrights of SHL for now

Brynas: 11.04% Lulea: 8.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Brynas	7	4	0	0	3	21:15	12
9	Lulea	7	3	0	0	4	18:23	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brynäs IF
SHL
22.09.26	Linköping - Brynäs	2:9 ✺
19.09.26	Skellefteå - Brynäs	7:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	3:4 ✺
03.09.26	Djurgården - Brynäs	4:1 ✺
01.09.26	Leksand - Brynäs	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW
- Luleå HF
SHL
24.09.26	Luleå - Frölunda	3:7 ✺
19.09.26	Luleå - Rögle	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	3:4 ✺
08.09.26	Timrå - Luleå	4:3 ✺
03.09.26	Luleå - Björklöven	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	3:4
SHL
21.02.26	Luleå - Brynäs	4:3 penalties
03.01.26	Brynäs - Luleå	4:2
15.11.25	Luleå - Brynäs	0:3
16.09.25	Brynäs - Luleå	5:7
01.05.25	Luleå - Brynäs	5:2
28.04.25	Brynäs - Luleå	2:6

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