Match Info

VHL

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Buran Voronezh		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	3.77	3.56	1.68
	3.65	3.45	1.65
	4.47	4.01	1.68	Watch
	4	4	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.89)	3.76 ↓ (4.1)	1.68 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buran Voronezh
22.6%

Draw
23.9%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

22.9%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buran Voronezh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buran Voronezh than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Buran Voronezh - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Buran will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buran (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
72. Ustimenko K. (G)	1. Lozebnikov D. (G)
15. Popov O. (A)	89. Teryayev S. (A)
36. Goryachev A.	4. Churkin V.
81. Nazarov M.	97. Galimov E.
25. Meshcheryakov M.	81. Spiridonov Y.
23. Alexeyev Y.	16. Manukyan A.
Line 2
24. Kolganov I.	8. Naumov V.
6. Starkov Y. (A)	47. Medvedev P.
97. Detkov I.	38. Demidov S.
50. Kurbatov V.	17. Podkorytov A.
55. Goncharov N.	10. Sheshin D.
Line 3
11. Tsalpanov Y.	12. Kryukov T.
71. Tyuvilin D.	67. Afanasyev M. (A)
82. Goryunov Y.	18. Serdyuk Y.
31. Bryzgalov Y. (C)	40. Apalkov D. (C)
51. Leshchenko V.	59. Perevalov A.
Line 4
89. Gainullin I.	58. Sherstnev I.
99. Karpov S.	41. Aliyev R.
42. Moruzhov D.	15. Utkin D.
14. Zubov Y.	87. Gerasimov S.
Substitutes
20. Tetyushkin D. (G)	28. Ospanov R.
	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:08, 0 - 1, Gerasimov S. (G), Utkin D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15:07, 1 - 1, Meshcheryakov M. (G), Goryachev A. (A), Karpov S. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Apalkov D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Goncharov N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Manukyan A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Detkov I. (Penalty Shot),
3, Galimov E. (Penalty Shot),
3, Nazarov M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Gerasimov S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tsalpanov Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Podkorytov A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Karpov S. (Penalty Shot),
6, Nazarov M. (Penalty Shot),
6, Podkorytov A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buran won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Metallurg N could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Metallurg N has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Metallurg N for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Buran in today's match, at odds of 4.13.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Buran has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:78 (averaging 2.4:4.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Buran against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 17:37 goals (averaging 2.1:4.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Buran Voronezh	13	6	3	2	2	30:22	20
9	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	13	7	0	3	3	24:14	17

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 53%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buran Voronezh
VHL
27.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:3 ✺
25.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Norilsk	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Kaluga - Buran Voronezh	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	AKM - Buran Voronezh	1:1 OT ✺
15.09.26	Ryazan - Buran Voronezh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLWW
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
25.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 OT ✺
23.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	4:0 ✺
21.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dynamo-Altay	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.02.26	Buran Voronezh - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:5
17.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Buran Voronezh	6:2
31.01.25	Buran Voronezh - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:8
18.10.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Buran Voronezh	2:3 OT
27.12.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Buran Voronezh	1:3
17.10.23	Buran Voronezh - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:2 penalties
30.01.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Buran Voronezh	6:1

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