Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.34	2.70
	1.88	3.25	3.05
	2.34	4.02	2.54	Watch
	2.22	3.80	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)	3.6 ↓ (3.92)	2.74 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
42%

Draw
25%

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

23.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yugra Khanty Mansiysk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Metallurg N will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metallurg N (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Lozebnikov D. (G)	50. Sokhatsky V. (G)
61. Vafin K.	72. Savchik K.
89. Teryayev S. (A)	21. Kirpichnikov A.
97. Galimov E.	11. Popov A.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	80. Maltsev M. (C)
59. Perevalov A.	42. Shutov V. (A)
Line 2
9. Belov D.	22. Filatov A.
67. Afanasyev M. (A)	64. Minayev Y.
16. Manukyan A.	86. Korobintsev V.
17. Podkorytov A.	82. Mamaladze D.
10. Sheshin D.	23. Osipov G.
Line 3
47. Medvedev P.	6. Gordeyev M.
4. Churkin V.	32. Khokhlov I.
33. Shablovsky Z.	13. Kovgorenya A.
81. Spiridonov Y.	73. Khovanov A.
41. Aliyev R.	59. Nikolayev A.
Line 4
58. Sherstnev I.	37. Baranov Y.
18. Serdyuk Y.	27. Khabarov M.
15. Utkin D.	8. Kapustin K. (A)
87. Gerasimov S.	92. Gurevich I.
	97. Kuzmin I.
Substitutes
28. Ospanov R.	29. Fudymovsky M. (G)
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:24, 1 - 0, Teryayev S. (G), Manukyan A. (A), Podkorytov A. (A2)
18:19, 2 - 0, Serdyuk Y. (G), Vafin K. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:31, 3 - 0, Apalkov D. (G), Galimov E. (A),
09:16, 4 - 0, Vafin K. (G), Serdyuk Y. (A), Ospanov R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 3.

In recent outings, Metallurg N has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Yugra is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Yugra may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Metallurg N has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg N has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:54 (averaging 2.2:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg N against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 23:25 goals (averaging 2.9:3.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	12	6	0	3	3	22:14	15
20	HC Yugra	11	4	2	0	5	20:17	12

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.11%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.08%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
12.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dynamo-Altay	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Norilsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:3 ✺
02.09.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWW
- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
17.09.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:3 ✺
14.09.26	Norilsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 penalties ✺
08.09.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Kaluga	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - AKM	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Ryazan	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
02.09.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2
22.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3 OT
02.10.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:0
08.02.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:1
12.10.24	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:4
01.12.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1
15.11.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:7

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