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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 50.4%
Draw 23.6%
Omskie Krylia 26%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.6%
23.7%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
28%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Omskie Krylia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omskie Krylia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Metallurg N (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metallurg N (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Lozebnikov D. (G)
61. Dolgov S. (G)
89. Teryayev S.
77. Vinogradov A.
8. Naumov V.
42. Petrishchev R.
59. Perevalov A.
34. Tagirov K.
40. Apalkov D.
28. Kazakov M.
18. Serdyuk Y.
24. Anop D.
Line 2
67. Afanasyev M.
33. Zavadsky A.
9. Belov D.
4. Yelizarov A.
97. Galimov E.
88. Stepanov Y.
81. Spiridonov Y.
47. Loktev A.
16. Manukyan A.
27. Davydov D.
Line 3
47. Medvedev P.
75. Yegorov A.
4. Churkin V.
57. Pavlikov M.
41. Aliyev R.
91. Protapovich A.
17. Podkorytov A.
71. Golodnyuk E.
10. Sheshin D.
17. Zaikin A.
Line 4
12. Kryukov T.
21. Grigoryev I.
71. Grzheletsky M.
20. Levchenko L.
33. Shablovsky Z.
12. Korzin V.
15. Utkin D.
10. Kharionov N.
Substitutes
87. Gerasimov S.
98. Nazarevich A.
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
94. Yaroslavlev Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
01:44, 0 - 1, Golodnyuk E. (G), Protapovich A. (A), Grigoryev I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
14:02, 1 - 1, Sheshin D. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:57, 1 - 2, Stepanov Y. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Metallurg N may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Metallurg N has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Bookmakers give the edge to Metallurg N for this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg N has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:34 (averaging 4.2:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg N against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 31:14 goals (averaging 6.2:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Omskie Krylia
17
12
2
0
3
48:23
28
12
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
17
7
2
3
5
31:22
21
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.58%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.