The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 60.5%
Draw 20.9%
Izhstal 18.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.4%
19.7%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
21.3%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Metallurg N (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metallurg N (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Lozebnikov D. (G)
59. Sukhachyov V. (G)
61. Vafin K.
23. Glebov G. (C)
89. Teryayev S. (C)
50. Zhdanov Y.
28. Ospanov R.
87. Gordin A.
81. Spiridonov Y.
78. Komaristy A. (A)
59. Perevalov A.
69. Maklozyan Y.
Line 2
12. Kryukov T.
79. Tikhonov M.
67. Afanasyev M. (A)
3. Zubarev A.
38. Demidov S.
19. Alekseev A.
17. Podkorytov A.
7. Pukelo K.
10. Sheshin D.
39. Kovalyov A.
Line 3
47. Medvedev P.
92. Murylev A.
4. Churkin V.
32. Rogov I.
16. Manukyan A.
9. Zhabreyev A.
15. Utkin D.
10. Astashevsky S. (A)
97. Galimov E.
97. Kozhukhov I.
Line 4
8. Naumov V. (A)
89. Yatsenko A.
29. Vasilkov A.
36. Martynov K.
71. Grzheletsky M.
70. Shilov A.
87. Gerasimov S.
71. Dolgopyatov N.
91. Gorfinyak E.
Substitutes
41. Aliyev R.
34. Levashev I. (G)
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:39, 1 - 0, Podkorytov A. (G), Demidov S. (A), Kryukov T. (A2)
08:00, 2 - 0, Vasilkov A. (G), Aliyev R. (A), Grzheletsky M. (A2)
08:30, 2 - 1, Kovalyov A. (G), Zubarev A. (A), Alekseev A. (A2)
18:50, 2 - 2, Zhdanov Y. (G), Glebov G. (A), Maklozyan Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Kovalyov A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Podkorytov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Pukelo K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Vasilkov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Maklozyan Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Gerasimov S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Astashevsky S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Aliyev R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Gordin A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Demidov S. (Penalty Shot),
6, Aliyev R. (Penalty Shot),
6, Pukelo K. (Penalty Shot),
7, Demidov S. (Penalty Shot),
7, Kovalyov A. (Penalty Shot),
8, Demidov S. (Penalty Shot),
8, Kovalyov A. (Penalty Shot),
9, Gerasimov S. (Penalty Shot),
9, Pukelo K. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Izhstal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Metallurg N has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Metallurg N for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Metallurg N in today's match, at odds of 1.49.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg N has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:33 (averaging 3.4:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg N against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 36:18 goals (averaging 4:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
20
9
3
3
5
41:26
27
30
Izhevsk
18
2
2
2
12
40:57
10
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.36%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.