The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CSK VVS Samara 32.2%
Draw 24%
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 43.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
24.5%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
28%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSK VVS Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSK VVS Samara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
CSK VVS Samara - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Ustimenko K. (G)
37. Nosov G. (G)
8. Gorbunov K.
90. Sumin A. (A)
89. Karpov A.
4. Chetverikov D.
23. Chervonenko V.
88. Bulatov A.
19. Galimov A. (A)
63. Platonov Y.
94. Anop D. (A)
9. Bykov M.
Line 2
61. Vafin K.
38. Garaishin I.
96. Ganabin Y.
55. Semyonov G. (C)
25. Petrov G.
98. Avramenko I.
73. Maslov O.
70. Boychuk D.
75. Dyadenkin D.
99. Zhulin T.
Line 3
18. Safonov I. (C)
75. Ionov S.
21. Lukin A.
8. Mulyukov I.
13. Demchenko V.
32. Yakupov R.
15. Krikunenko R.
17. Kulikov P.
52. Grishakov A.
71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
7. Teterin O.
89. Onishko A.
86. Khokhlachev T.
87. Rakhimullin A.
11. Mustafin R.
19. Khlopotov V. (A)
87. Borodin D.
77. Marushev M.
Substitutes
71. Popov D. (G)
73. Nazarov Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
18:22, 0 - 1, Boychuk D. (G), Avramenko I. (A), Rakhimullin A. (A2)
19:29, 0 - 2, Platonov Y. (G), Semyonov G. (A), Bykov M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
11:20, 0 - 3, Bykov M. (G), Chetverikov D. (A), Shakirov R. (A2)
13:47, 1 - 3, Safonov I. (G), Mustafin R. (A), Khokhlachev T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
01:05, 1 - 4, Yakupov R. (G), Kulikov P. (A), Shakirov R. (A2)
01:47, 1 - 5, Zhulin T. (G), Onishko A. (A), Avramenko I. (A2)
13:03, 1 - 6, Avramenko I. (G), Boychuk D. (A), Zhulin T. (A2)
15:34, 2 - 6, Mustafin R. (G), Demchenko V. (A), Anop D. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 2.
CSK VVS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Neftyanik Almetyevsk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Neftyanik Almetyevsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Neftyanik Almetyevsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:45. (average 1.6:3).
Including home matches between the teams, CSK VVS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.6:3.1).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Almetyevsk
15
7
4
0
4
44:30
22
25
CSK VVS
16
3
1
1
11
31:56
9
Last Results with these Odds
Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.16%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.