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Current Win Probability
Dinamo St. Petersburg 28.7%
Draw 23.9%
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 47.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33%
24.4%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
25.4%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo St. Petersburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dinamo St. Petersburg - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
22. Velmakin Y. (G)
37. Nosov G. (G)
7. Kozlovsky Y. (A)
90. Sumin A. (A)
3. Melyakov K.
4. Chetverikov D.
78. Nechayev A. (A)
98. Avramenko I.
47. Grebenshchikov S.
50. Komkov D.
31. Mikhailov V.
9. Bykov M.
Line 2
67. Sarayev V.
49. Khamidullin D. (C)
26. Salakhov M. (C)
38. Garaishin I.
93. Zugan D.
99. Zhulin T.
23. Kotkov V.
63. Platonov Y.
10. Nazarevich A.
13. Zamaltdinov R.
Line 3
18. Khuzin R.
75. Ionov S.
14. Nurgaliyev E.
8. Mulyukov I.
99. Boikov L.
71. Shakirov R.
72. Prokhorov D.
32. Yakupov R.
42. Zhukenov D.
17. Kulikov P.
Line 4
70. Rodionov Y.
89. Onishko A.
97. Ugolnikov I.
87. Rakhimullin A.
56. Kazakovtsev I.
77. Marushev M.
11. Yezhov I.
19. Khlopotov V. (A)
9. Davydov D.
Substitutes
88. Kulikov D. (G)
73. Nazarov Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
05:09, 1 - 0, Prokhorov D. (G), Sarayev V. (A), Salakhov M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
07:49, 1 - 1, Zhulin T. (G), Platonov Y. (A), Zamaltdinov R. (A2)
09:12, 1 - 2, Khlopotov V. (G), Marushev M. (A), Onishko A. (A2)
19:19, 2 - 2, Zugan D. (G), Kotkov V. (A), Nurgaliyev E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Zhulin T. (Penalty Shot),
1, Boikov L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Platonov Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kotkov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Shakirov R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Davydov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Khamidullin D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Zhukenov D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Avramenko I. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 1.
In recent matches, Dinamo SP has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Neftyanik Almetyevsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Dinamo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has had a series of home games.
Neftyanik Almetyevsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 54:70. (average 2.7:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo SP won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:43. (average 2.8:3.9).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Almetyevsk
17
7
6
0
4
49:33
26
20
Dinamo St. Petersburg
16
5
2
2
7
44:51
16
Last Results with these Odds
Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 32.96%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.