Match Info

VHL

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	3.76	4.2	1.78	Watch
	4	4.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.01)	4.23 ↑ (3.83)	1.69 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
23.7%

Draw
21.8%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

23.8%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

26.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SKA-VMF's form might have worsened.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftyanik Almetyevsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-VMF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SKA VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	73. Nazarov Y. (G)
27. Sapunov V. (A)	90. Sumin A. (A)
14. Shekhovtsov Y.	4. Chetverikov D.
59. Nikolayev A.	98. Avramenko I.
19. Zinchenko I. (C)	50. Komkov D.
97. Nugmanov A. (A)	9. Bykov M.
Line 2
5. Yarullin A.	55. Semyonov G.
12. Remezovsky I.	49. Khamidullin D. (C)
16. Demidov S.	13. Zamaltdinov R.
88. Lazutin D.	63. Platonov Y.
89. Surayev N.	99. Zhulin T.
Line 3
80. Gryaznov G.	75. Ionov S.
68. Beshkorov K.	8. Mulyukov I.
83. Shamshurin S.	32. Yakupov R.
24. Sharov A.	17. Kulikov P.
23. Osipov G.	71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
21. Kalinin N.	38. Garaishin I.
96. Kabat M.	88. Bulatov A.
17. Kabush M.	19. Khlopotov V. (A)
6. Marchenko T.	77. Marushev M.
Substitutes
10. Ignatov I.	37. Nosov G. (G)
74. Podlyagin N. (G)
31. Saranchuk G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:49, 0 - 1, Shakirov R. (G), Kulikov P. (A),
15:05, 0 - 2, Bykov M. (G), Avramenko I. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:25, 1 - 2, Zinchenko I. (G), Gryaznov G. (A), Nugmanov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 3.

In recent matches, SKA-VMF has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 57:48. (average 2.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:16. (average 3.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Almetyevsk	15	7	4	0	4	44:30	22
11	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	12	6	2	0	4	32:21	16

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 45.9%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
07.01.26	SKA-VMF - CSK VVS Samara	2:5 ✺
05.01.26	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	0:2 ✺
22.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Dynamo-Altay - SKA-VMF	3:5 ✺
15.12.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - SKA-VMF	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWL
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
23.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dynamo-Altay	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	5:0 ✺
17.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk	3:4 OT ✺
12.12.25	Buran Voronezh - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	5:1
03.03.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	4:3 OT
19.09.24	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	5:4
09.12.23	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:0
05.11.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	1:5
05.01.23	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 OT
19.10.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	2:1

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