Match Info

NHL

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	MSG
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Calgary Flames		Colorado Avalanche

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.5	1.62	Watch
	4.00	4.40	1.67
	4.3	4.3	1.68
	4	4.62	1.71
	4.03	4.73	1.69	Watch
	3.95	4.6	1.7
	4.16	4.67	1.74
	3.85	4.4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.4)	4.53 ↑ (4.2)	1.69 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Flames
23.2%

Draw
20.8%

Colorado Avalanche
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

22.4%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

22.6%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colorado Avalanche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colorado Avalanche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Calgary Flames - Colorado Avalanche Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Colorado Avalanche will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Cooley D. (G)	41. Wedgewood S. (G)
28. Whitecloud Z. (A)	8. Makar C. (A)
7. Bahl K.	7. Toews D.
27. Coronato M.	88. Necas M.
16. Frost M.	29. MacKinnon N. (A)
92. Gridin M.	62. Lehkonen A.
Line 2
71. Nemec S.	70. Malinski S.
37. Kuznetsov Y.	27. Kulak B.
86. Farabee J.	91. Kadri N.
11. Backlund M. (C)	11. Nelson B.
17. Sharangovich Y.	92. Landeskog G. (C)
Line 3
19. Parekh Z.	84. Burns B.
55. Middleton J. (A)	42. Manson J.
76. Pospisil M.	13. Hughes T.
22. Strome R.	9. Svechkov F.
29. Honzek S.	71. Schwartz J.
Line 4
43. Klapka A.	68. L'Heureux Z.
38. Castagna J.	10. Roy N.
61. Suniev A.	17. Kelly P.
Substitutes
32. Wolf D. (G)	39. Blackwood M. (G)
Coaches
. Huska R.	. Bednar J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:23, (2 min),
15:54, 0 - 1, Toews D. (G), Makar C. (A), Nelson B. (A2)
17:30, 1 - 1, Klapka A. (G), Castagna J. (A),
19:13, Toews D. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
00:23, Parekh Z. (2 min),
06:45, 1 - 2, Toews D. (G), Juulsen N. (A), Kelly P. (A2)
09:16, 1 - 3, Makar C. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Kulak B. (A2)
11:39, 1 - 4, MacKinnon N. (G), L'Heureux Z. (A),
13:46, Coronato M. (5 min),
13:46, L'Heureux Z. (5 min),
19:38, Kelly P. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
00:17, Parekh Z. (2 min),
05:35, 1 - 5, Makar C. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Kadri N. (A2)
06:34, 1 - 6, Schwartz J. (G), Hughes T. (A), Kulak B. (A2)
07:17, 2 - 6, Backlund M. (G), Strome R. (A),
08:28, 3 - 6, Bahl K. (G), Farabee J. (A), Sharangovich Y. (A2)
09:41, 3 - 7, Schwartz J. (G), Svechkov F. (A), Burns B. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 1.

Calgary is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Colorado have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Calgary could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Calgary has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Colorado is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Calgary: Huberdeau J. (Hip Injury).

Confirmed absences for Colorado: O'Connor L. (Lower-Body Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Calgary has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:79 (averaging 2.2:4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Calgary against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 17:34 goals (averaging 1.9:3.8 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Colorado Avalanche: 9.6% Calgary Flames: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.99%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Flames
NHL
04.10.26	Seattle Kraken - Calgary Flames	6:1 ✺
03.10.26	Vancouver Canucks - Calgary Flames	4:1 ✺
01.10.26	Calgary Flames - Seattle Kraken	1:6 ✺
26.09.26	Edmonton Oilers - Calgary Flames	4:1 ✺
24.09.26	Seattle Kraken - Calgary Flames	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
07.10.26	Winnipeg Jets - Colorado Avalanche	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Colorado Avalanche - St. Louis Blues	6:1 ✺
30.09.26	Colorado Avalanche - Los Angeles Kings	8:4 ✺
26.09.26	Utah Mammoth - Colorado Avalanche	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Colorado Avalanche - Winnipeg Jets	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
14.04.26	Calgary Flames - Colorado Avalanche	1:3
09.04.26	Colorado Avalanche - Calgary Flames	3:1
30.03.26	Colorado Avalanche - Calgary Flames	9:2
31.03.25	Colorado Avalanche - Calgary Flames	2:3 penalties
14.03.25	Calgary Flames - Colorado Avalanche	2:4
06.02.25	Calgary Flames - Colorado Avalanche	2:4
12.03.24	Calgary Flames - Colorado Avalanche	2:6

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