Match Info

Olympic Games

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Giulia Ice Hockey Arena (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	16:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:40	HBO Max
Bulgaria	17:40	HBO Max
Croatia	16:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	16:40	CT sport, Eurosport 2, HBO Max, Oneplay
Denmark	16:40	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	17:40	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	16:40	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Germany	16:40	Eurosport 2
Hungary	16:40	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Italy	16:40	Eurosport 2
Moldova	17:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	16:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	16:40	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
North Macedonia	16:40	HBO Max
Norway	16:40	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	16:40	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Portugal	15:40	Eurosport 2
Romania	17:40	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	16:40	HBO Max
Slovakia	16:40	STVR Sport
Slovenia	16:40	HBO Max
Spain	16:40	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	16:40	Eurosport 2, HBO Max, SVT 1
Turkey	18:40	Eurosport 2
United Kingdom	15:40	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	10:40	NBC Sports App, Peacock


	Canada		France

	1	X	2
	1	23	51
	1	26	51
	1	22.72	86.74	Watch
	1	15	34
	1	15	34
	1.01	14	101
Avarage Now (Initially)	1 ↓ (1.02)	19.29 ↑ (18.35)	59.62 ↑ (39)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada
93.6%

Draw
4.9%

France
1.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

92.4%

5.1%

2.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Canada - France Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Canada will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). France will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Canada: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Canada (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Canada (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:0

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Binnington J. (G) St. Louis Blues	33. Junca J. (G) Dukla Trencin
8. Makar C. (A) Colorado Avalanche	8. Gallet H. Kalpa Kuopio
7. Toews D. Colorado Avalanche	27. Boscq J. Bordeaux
43. Wilson T. Washington Capitals	14. Da Costa S. (A) Yekaterinburg
97. McDavid C. (A) Edmonton Oilers	41. Bellemare P-E. (C) Ajoie
17. Celebrini M. San Jose Sharks	81. Rech A. Rouen
Line 2
55. Parayko C. St. Louis Blues	5. Guebey E. Davos
20. Harley T. Dallas Stars	18. Auvitu Y. (A) Black Wings Linz
10. Suzuki N. Montreal Canadiens	3. Bertrand C. Vaasan Sport
29. MacKinnon N. Colorado Avalanche	29. Boudon L. Jukurit
38. Hagel B. Tampa Bay Lightning	85. Texier A. Montreal Canadiens
Line 3
89. Doughty D. Los Angeles Kings	74. Thiry T. Ajoie
6. Sanheim T. Philadelphia Flyers	7. Crinon P. Grenoble
61. Stone M. Vegas Golden Knights	78. Fabre D. Assat Pori
87. Crosby S. (C) Pittsburgh Penguins	25. Ritz N. Angers
93. Marner M. Vegas Golden Knights	72. Perret J. Mountfield HK
Line 4
27. Theodore S. Vegas Golden Knights	62. Chakiachvili F. Rouen
13. Reinhart S. Florida Panthers	91. Douay F. Lausanne
9. Bennett S. Florida Panthers	24. Addamo J. Jukurit
24. Jarvis S. Carolina Hurricanes	77. Treille S. Grenoble
Substitutes
14. Horvat B. New York Islanders	95. Bozon K. Ajoie
48. Thompson L. (G) Washington Capitals	30. Keller A. (G) Ajoie
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Treille Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
06:12, Crinon P. (2 min),
08:41, 1 - 0, Wilson T. (G), Doughty D. (A), McDavid C. (A2)
08:54, 1 - 1, Douay F. (G), Addamo J. (A),
09:33, 2 - 1, Toews D. (G), Crosby S. (A), Marner M. (A2)
18:49, Sanheim T. (2 min),
19:56, 3 - 1, Stone M. (G),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
05:37, Bozon K. (2 min),
11:54, Auvitu Y. (2 min),
12:10, 4 - 1, Makar C. (G), McDavid C. (A), Crosby S. (A2)
17:16, 5 - 1, Celebrini M. (Penalty Shot),
17:35, 6 - 1, Crosby S. (G), Stone M. (A),
3rd Period (4 - 1)
00:01, Junca J. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
00:20, 7 - 1, McDavid C. (G), Celebrini M. (A), Wilson T. (A2)
01:28, 7 - 2, Treille S. (G), Addamo J. (A), Crinon P. (A2)
05:14, 8 - 2, Horvat B. (G), Reinhart S. (A), Bennett S. (A2)
10:46, 9 - 2, Hagel B. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Theodore S. (A2)
11:22, Crinon P. (2 min),
11:47, 10 - 2, Celebrini M. (G), Stone M. (A), Marner M. (A2)
13:01, Wilson T. (2 min),
13:01, Wilson T. (5 min),
13:01, Crinon P. (2 min),
13:01, Crinon P. (5 min),
15:02, MacKinnon N. (2 min),
17:33, Makar C. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canada won 5.

Canada has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Canada is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Canada: Cirelli A. (Injury) Morrissey J. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in France: Perret J. (Injury) Thiry T. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Canada won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:11. (average 3.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada hockey
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
13.02.26	Canada - Switzerland	5:1 ✺
12.02.26	Czech Republic - Canada	0:5 ✺
Spengler Cup
29.12.25	Sparta Prague - Canada	5:1 ✺
28.12.25	Canada - Davos	1:4 ✺
26.12.25	Canada - US Collegiate Selects	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW
- France hockey
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
13.02.26	France - Czech Republic	3:6 ✺
12.02.26	Switzerland - France	4:0 ✺
European Cup of Nations Hockey
14.12.25	France - Italy	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Hungary - France	2:5 ✺
12.12.25	Poland - France	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
13.05.25	Canada - France	5:0
24.05.22	Canada - France	7:1
16.05.19	Canada - France	5:2
11.05.17	Canada - France	3:2
16.05.16	Canada - France	4:0
09.05.15	France - Canada	3:4
09.05.14	France - Canada	3:2 penalties

Canada - France