Match Info

MHL

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Chaika		Loko-76

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.35	4.15
	1.69	4.25	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.79)	4.3 ↑ (4.03)	4 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chaika
55.7%

Draw
21.3%

Loko-76
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

22.8%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

22.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Loko-76 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loko-76 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Chaika - Loko 76 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
50. Rybkin Y. (G)	31. Borichev D. (G)
65. Chesnokov I.	73. Luzanov D.
19. Anisimov A.	76. Manuilov M. (A)
93. Pugachyov G.	96. Polyakov I. (C)
41. Fyodorov V.	57. Bulgakov M.
9. Skvortsov S.	98. Burmistrov P. (A)
Line 2
23. Guryev S.	32. Stramilov I.
76. Belyakov K.	41. Kriklivy M.
7. Glazunov M. (C)	10. Kochetkov A.
15. Matyuk A.	47. Filevsky L.
91. Opolinsky M.	71. Malkov N.
Line 3
81. Mullerov I.	77. Dorogushkin I.
95. Prisekin N. (A)	89. Tumanov A.
16. Bessonov A.	12. Maslenitsyn M.
12. Mishin V.	17. Beryozkin I.
8. Kozin V.	37. Tauber A.
Line 4
73. Anisimov Y.	97. Tumanov M.
61. Volkov A.	86. Fomin V.
86. Popov Y.	21. Klochko A.
17. Salnikov L. (A)	69. Chernyayev S.
14. Shcherbakov K.
Substitutes
30. Gritsenko Y. (G)	30. Konopsky S. (G)
	11. Porada I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:35, 0 - 1, Bulgakov M. (G), Burmistrov P. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:57, 0 - 2, Fomin V. (G), Chernyayev S. (A), Luzanov D. (A2)
09:15, 1 - 2, Matyuk A. (G), Fyodorov V. (A), Opolinsky M. (A2)
09:39, 2 - 2, Pugachyov G. (G), Skvortsov S. (A), Fyodorov V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:14, 3 - 2, Pugachyov G. (G), Opolinsky M. (A), Matyuk A. (A2)
11:20, 3 - 3, Beryozkin I. (G), Filevsky L. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:36, 3 - 4, Chernyayev S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 5.

Chaika has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Loko-76 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Chaika has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chaika is a strong favorite.

We predict that Chaika will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:31. (average 4.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaika won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:14. (average 4.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chaika - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
14.11.25	Chaika - AKM Novomoskovsk	5:2 ✺
07.11.25	Belye Medvedi - Chaika	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Belye Medvedi - Chaika	8:4 ✺
03.11.25	Avto - Chaika	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Avto - Chaika	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW
- Loko-76
MHL
14.11.25	Irbis Kazan - Loko-76	5:3 ✺
09.11.25	Loko-76 - Sibirskie Snaypery	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Loko-76 - Sibirskie Snaypery	1:4 ✺
05.11.25	Loko-76 - AKM Novomoskovsk	1:2 penalties ✺
01.11.25	Omskye Yastreby - Loko-76	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
19.12.24	Loko-76 - Chaika	2:3
17.09.24	Chaika - Loko-76	6:2
11.02.24	Loko-76 - Chaika	2:7
08.01.24	Chaika - Loko-76	5:4
19.02.23	Loko-76 - Chaika	4:5
18.02.23	Loko-76 - Chaika	2:3 OT
24.12.22	Chaika - Loko-76	5:4 OT

Upcoming Matches