Match Info

VHL

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.64	2.29
	2.75	3.84	2.26	Watch
	2.8	3.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.81)	3.78 ↑ (3.5)	2.27 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
34.1%

Draw
24.7%

Rubin Tyumen
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

26.8%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

25.7%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Rubin Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Chelmet - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Utenkov D. (G)	90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)
42. Yusupov V.	11. Popov Y.
48. Pronichkin A.	12. Lyutov D.
10. Nizameyev A.	27. Davydov D.
57. Telegin N.	10. Petrakov I.
98. Kolodiy L.	78. Meshkov P.
Line 2
90. Klimontov K. (A)	55. Stikhanovsky M.
79. Savelyev A.	28. Tsyganov D.
16. Shen A.	53. Voevodin D.
33. Rykmanov A.	22. Babenko Y.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	9. Ivanov S.
Line 3
18. Mikanovich D.	93. Vashchenko N.
22. Filatov A. (A)	35. Vdovin Y.
17. Yekimov N.	43. Voronkov P.
37. Mits Z.	57. Kanitsky Y.
46. Shaveko V.	80. Koshurnikov K.
Line 4
66. Drugalya S.	6. Gatiyatulin I.
25. Fakhrutdinov R.	3. Ivanov Y. D.
67. Shchekoldin K.	85. Styozhkin I.
36. Shubin D.	66. Piliya D.
Substitutes
93. Mosharov D. (G)	1. Gromovik Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
05:47, 1 - 0, Drugalya S. (G), Zinovyev I. (A), Shen A. (A2)
06:54, 1 - 1, Meshkov P. (G), Davydov D. (A), Popov Y. (A2)
09:24, 1 - 2, Meshkov P. (G), Popov Y. (A),
14:55, 2 - 2, Zinovyev I. (G), Kolodiy L. (A),
19:16, 2 - 3, Tsyganov D. (G), Babenko Y. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:03, 3 - 3, Telegin N. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Stikhanovsky M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Nizameyev A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Babenko Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Telegin N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Popov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Yusupov V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Meshkov P. (Penalty Shot),
4, Shen A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Koshurnikov K. (Penalty Shot),
5, Zinovyev I. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3.

In recent matches, Chelmet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rubin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chelmet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 43:54. (average 2.2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 2.2:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.35%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Rubin Tyumen - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.88%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
05.11.25	Chelmet - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:4 penalties ✺
31.10.25	Buran Voronezh - Chelmet	1:2 OT ✺
29.10.25	Rostov - Chelmet	3:1 ✺
27.10.25	Tambov - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
22.10.25	Chelmet - Dynamo-Altay	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
05.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:2 OT ✺
29.10.25	Rubin Tyumen - Torpedo-Gorky	2:1 penalties ✺
27.10.25	Rubin Tyumen - Khimik	3:2 penalties ✺
25.10.25	Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	2:3 OT
VHL
26.01.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	0:1
25.10.24	Chelmet - Rubin Tyumen	2:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.24	Chelmet - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 penalties
09.08.24	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	4:2
VHL
06.02.24	Chelmet - Rubin Tyumen	1:4
16.09.23	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	2:1 OT

Chelmet - Rubin Tyumen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide