Match Info

VHL

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	2.97	4.05	2.07	Watch
	3	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.81)	4.03 ↑ (3.6)	2.09 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
31.5%

Draw
23.4%

Chelmet
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.1%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Rostov - Chelmet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kapustin K. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	43. Rodionov M.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	66. Drugalya S.
27. Kalmykov D. (C)	17. Yekimov N.
21. Sergiyevsky Y.	57. Telegin N.
95. Korbit Y.	10. Nizameyev A. (A)
Line 2
94. Voronin N. (A)	90. Klimontov K. (A)
5. Makarov S.	79. Savelyev A.
26. Urulin S. (A)	16. Shen A.
25. Sedantsov O.	37. Mits Z.
9. Myagkov V.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 3
55. Machugin D.	48. Pronichkin A.
6. Gapochkin R.	22. Filatov A.
64. Sorokin S.	98. Kolodiy L.
17. Smolyov I.	67. Shchekoldin K.
8. Sokolov D.	46. Shaveko V.
Line 4
19. Vasilyev I. M.
98. Levinsky A.
23. Kamensky Y.
7. Galushkin A.
Substitutes
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	25. Fakhrutdinov R.
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	81. Sokolsky I.
	77. Tertyshny A.
	30. Utenkov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
14:17, 0 - 1, Telegin N. (G), Nizameyev A. (A), Yekimov N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
06:39, 1 - 1, Smolyov I. (G), Sokolov D. (A), Gapochkin R. (A2)
13:50, 2 - 1, Kalmykov D. (G), Sergiyevsky Y. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
14:31, 3 - 1, Korbit Y. (G), Sergiyevsky Y. (A), Kalmykov D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2.

In recent matches, Rostov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chelmet's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Chelmet has had a series of home games.

Chelmet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 2.8:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.48%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
27.10.25	Rostov - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 OT ✺
25.10.25	Rostov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:4 penalties ✺
20.10.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Rostov	5:3 ✺
18.10.25	Khimik - Rostov	3:1 ✺
16.10.25	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLL
- HC Chelmet
VHL
27.10.25	Tambov - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
22.10.25	Chelmet - Dynamo-Altay	1:2 penalties ✺
20.10.25	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Chelmet - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 ✺
16.10.25	Chelmet - Norilsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
22.01.25	Chelmet - Rostov	2:3 OT
31.10.24	Rostov - Chelmet	2:4
02.12.23	Chelmet - Rostov	2:3 OT
04.11.23	Rostov - Chelmet	2:4
27.12.22	Chelmet - Rostov	2:1
22.10.22	Rostov - Chelmet	3:2 penalties
19.01.22	Rostov - Chelmet	6:1

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