Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Dinamo St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	3.66	3.97	1.76
	3.87	4.4	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.14)	4.19 ↑ (4.15)	1.74 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
24.6%

Draw
22.1%

Dinamo St. Petersburg
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

22.6%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

23.3%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelny's form might have worsened.

Dinamo St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo St. Petersburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Chelny - Dinamo St. Petersburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Sartakov V. (G)	22. Velmakin Y. (G)
72. Kolmagorov K.	14. Nurgaliyev E.
5. Davydov D.	7. Kozlovsky Y.
25. Rakhcheev I.	47. Grebenshchikov S.
70. Maltsev M.	78. Nechayev A.
96. Lomako O.	94. Pukhov N.
Line 2
50. Motygullin B. (A)	3. Melyakov K.
44. Vinogradov A.	79. Tikhonov M.
10. Ustimkin M.	96. Zinchenko I.
94. Sherstobitov D.	93. Zugan D.
9. Nasyrov M.	23. Kotkov V.
Line 3
62. Naumov G.	38. Baklashev N.
18. Guskov I.	67. Sarayev V.
59. Anufriev I.	99. Boikov L.
68. Silayev I. (A)	42. Zhukenov D.
29. Manukyan A.	17. Khanin M.
Line 4
19. Zakharov N.	97. Ugolnikov I.
22. Minnekhanov B.	31. Mikhailov V.
69. Redkov A.	9. Davydov D.
89. Migur A.	56. Kazakovtsev I.
Substitutes
31. Noskov A. (G)	21. Platunov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:19, 0 - 1, Zugan D. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:49, 0 - 2, Nurgaliyev E. (G), Zugan D. (A), Pukhov N. (A2)
02:49, 0 - 3, Davydov D. (G), Mikhailov V. (A), Kazakovtsev I. (A2)
08:36, 1 - 3, Guskov I. (G), Lomako O. (A), Rakhcheev I. (A2)
10:48, 2 - 3, Minnekhanov B. (G), Redkov A. (A), Naumov G. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dinamo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dinamo SP has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dinamo SP is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 3:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 5.5:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.85%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
02.11.25	Chelny - Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties ✺
31.10.25	Chelny - CSK VVS Samara	2:4 ✺
25.10.25	AKM - Chelny	2:6 ✺
23.10.25	Ryazan - Chelny	3:4 OT ✺
21.10.25	Dizel Penza - Chelny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WLWWL
- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
09.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 penalties ✺
03.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - AKM	5:3 ✺
01.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Ryazan	2:3 ✺
30.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Dizel Penza	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Kristall Saratov	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.02.25	Chelny - Dinamo St. Petersburg	8:2
21.09.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelny	5:0
29.11.23	Chelny - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:4 penalties
19.11.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelny	5:1

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