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Current Win Probability
Dinamo St. Petersburg 31.8%
Draw 23.9%
AKM 44.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
23.1%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
24.8%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
AKM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo St. Petersburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKM than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AKM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 3.
Dinamo SP is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
AKM has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
AKM may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Dinamo SP has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo SP has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:36 (averaging 3.1:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo SP against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 28:15 goals (averaging 3.1:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
AKM
20
10
1
5
4
58:48
27
20
Dinamo St. Petersburg
17
6
2
2
7
47:51
18
Last Results with these Odds
AKM - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.53%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.