Match Info

VHL

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Chelny

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.54	4.96
	1.5	4.85	5.15	Watch
	1.4	5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.8 ↑ (4.4)	5.29 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
63.1%

Draw
19.4%

Chelny
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.2%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

21.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

AKM - Chelny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
91. Pastukh V. (G)	31. Noskov A. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (A)	72. Kolmagorov K. (C)
71. Zaitsev D.	5. Davydov D.
12. Rybakov V.	25. Rakhcheev I.
70. Dyukarev V.	69. Redkov A.
86. Ignatov S.	96. Lomako O.
Line 2
85. Fazylzyanov K. (C)	50. Motygullin B. (A)
3. Zhurakov D.	45. Alyayev A.
32. Manin Y.	10. Ustimkin M.
77. Sharifyanov T.	22. Minnekhanov B.
28. Tsybin M. (A)	9. Nasyrov M.
Line 3
38. Bulygin D.	62. Naumov G.
80. Strugov Y.	33. Dergousov D.
79. Shulenin G.	59. Anufriev I.
13. Bryntsev M.	68. Silayev I. (A)
19. Moiseyev D.	29. Manukyan A.
Line 4
5. Denisov D.	19. Zakharov N.
23. Yuzbashyan R.	11. Luchenkov S.
29. Kaburov G.	47. Senkin O.
90. Komissarov L.	89. Migur A.
84. Galeyev R.
Substitutes
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	60. Sartakov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:43, 0 - 1, Motygullin B. (G), Nasyrov M. (A), Ustimkin M. (A2)
02:22, 0 - 2, Alyayev A. (G), Ustimkin M. (A),
06:25, 1 - 2, Sharifyanov T. (G), Manin Y. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:39, 2 - 2, Tsybin M. (G), Fazylzyanov K. (A), Sharifyanov T. (A2)
08:55, 2 - 3, Alyayev A. (G), Manukyan A. (A), Anufriev I. (A2)
12:44, 2 - 4, Minnekhanov B. (G), Lomako O. (A), Rakhcheev I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:47, 2 - 5, Silayev I. (G), Manukyan A. (A), Anufriev I. (A2)
16:14, 2 - 6, Rakhcheev I. (G),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chelny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AKM is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AKM won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 3.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 6.23 are the expected chance of winning is 14.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
23.10.25	AKM - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
21.10.25	AKM - CSK VVS Samara	1:3 ✺
15.10.25	AKM - Ryazan	0:6 ✺
10.10.25	Dizel Penza - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
08.10.25	Kristall Saratov - AKM	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW
- HC Chelny
VHL
23.10.25	Ryazan - Chelny	3:4 OT ✺
21.10.25	Dizel Penza - Chelny	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Chelny	2:3 ✺
14.10.25	Chelny - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
12.10.25	Chelny - Toros Neftekamsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.02.25	AKM - Chelny	4:2
18.10.24	Chelny - AKM	5:4 OT
13.12.23	Chelny - AKM	1:3
31.10.23	AKM - Chelny	2:1

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