Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny) 🌤️ ...


	Chelny		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	3.74	4.55	1.72	Watch
	4.25	4.3	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.6)	4.43 ↑ (3.8)	1.7 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
23.5%

Draw
21.2%

Bars Kazan
55.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.5%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

24.4%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bars Kazan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bars Kazan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chelny - Bars Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Sartakov V. (G)	20. Arefyev M. (G)
72. Kolmagorov K. (C)	22. Bardin I.
5. Davydov D.	39. Almetkin V. (A)
25. Rakhcheev I.	17. Gizatullin D.
70. Maltsev M.	9. Alshevsky S. (C)
18. Guskov I.	55. Sherstnyov D.
Line 2
50. Motygullin B. (A)	84. Safin A.
44. Vinogradov A.	60. Lisov N.
10. Ustimkin M.	64. Gazizov R.
22. Minnekhanov B.	41. Klimkin I.
9. Nasyrov M.	88. Alshevsky Y. (A)
Line 3
62. Naumov G.	71. Samigullin R.
33. Dergousov D.	53. Makhmutov A.
59. Anufriev I.	90. Gabdrakhmanov E.
68. Silayev I. (A)	23. Zinovyev D.
29. Manukyan A.	32. Vasilkov A.
Line 4
19. Zakharov N.	5. Mubaraksins A.
47. Senkin O.	10. Galeyev I.
21. Fedyakin S.	98. Saberzyanov M.
89. Migur A.	93. Barsukov I.
Substitutes
31. Noskov A. (G)	80. Chibizov A. (G)
	72. Mekhovov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:14, 1 - 0, Naumov G. (G),
19:49, 1 - 1, Barsukov I. (G), Galeyev I. (A), Lisov N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 0.

Chelny has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bars is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chelny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Bars is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:45. (average 2.3:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 3:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.89%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
31.10.25	Chelny - CSK VVS Samara	2:4 ✺
25.10.25	AKM - Chelny	2:6 ✺
23.10.25	Ryazan - Chelny	3:4 OT ✺
21.10.25	Dizel Penza - Chelny	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Chelny	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LWWLW
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
29.10.25	Bars Kazan - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 OT ✺
23.10.25	AKM - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
21.10.25	Ryazan - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties ✺
19.10.25	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:2 penalties ✺
17.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.25	Chelny - Bars Kazan	2:5
VHL
10.01.25	Chelny - Bars Kazan	2:3
15.11.24	Bars Kazan - Chelny	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
31.08.24	Bars Kazan - Chelny	4:1
VHL
19.01.24	Bars Kazan - Chelny	4:3 OT
08.10.23	Chelny - Bars Kazan	1:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.21	Bars Kazan - Chelny	5:1

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