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Current Win Probability
Chicago Wolves 40.3%
Draw 22.4%
Milwaukee Admirals 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
24.5%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
26.2%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Milwaukee Admirals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Wolves than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Admirals than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Chicago Wolves - Milwaukee Admirals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Primeau C. (G)
30. Chrona M. (G)
3. Badinka D.
22. Element S.
25. Biondi B.
6. Gibson A.
22. Brind'Amour S.
5. Gravel K. (C)
52. Foote C.
25. Kemell J.
37. Gagnon D.
68. L'Heureux Z.
10. Gunler N.
19. Lucchini J. (A)
34. Heimosalmi A.
36. Marino K. (A)
58. Montgomery B.
51. Matier J.
82. Nadeau B.
50. Molendyk T.
9. Nystrom J.
82. Oesterle J.
15. Pavlychev N. (A)
77. O'Hara C.
12. Philp N.
15. Ratcliffe I.
93. Robidas J. (A)
18. Rolston R.
27. Ryabkin I.
49. Schaefer R.
8. Seeley R. (A)
21. Strinden B.
24. Smith G.
12. Ufko R.
14. Sorum F. U.
88. Wiesblatt O.
41. Vierling E.
13. Willis J.
Substitutes
35. Miftakhov A. (G)
32. Murray M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
07:27, 1 - 0, Seeley R. (G), Gagnon D. (A),
17:00, 2 - 0, Pavlychev N. (G), Nadeau B. (A), Robidas J. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
09:33, 3 - 0, Robidas J. (G), Philp N. (A),
12:32, 4 - 0, Nadeau B. (G), Robidas J. (A), Pavlychev N. (A2)
15:40, 4 - 1, Ratcliffe I. (G), Molendyk T. (A), Lucchini J. (A2)
19:30, 5 - 1, Philp N. (G), Sorum F. U. (A), Nystrom J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
Chicago is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Milwaukee is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.
Chicago is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Milwaukee has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:58. (average 3:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 3.6:2.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Wolves - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.76%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.