Match Info

WORLD: OLYMPIC GAMES - QUALIFICATION - THIRD STAGE

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	China		Serbia

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.6	2.95
	2.04	4.3	2.9
	2.09	4.66	2.85
	1.91	4	3
	2.04	3.98	2.79
	2.01	4.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.8)	4.29 ↓ (4.61)	2.9 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China
46.4%

Draw
21.6%

Serbia
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

19.3%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

18.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Serbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for China than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serbia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

China - Serbia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Serbia will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

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Preview

China has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Serbia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

China will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches China won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China hockey
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
10.02.24	Romania - China	6:1 ✺
08.02.24	Great Britain - China	10:1 ✺
Euro Hockey Tour - Channel One Cup
17.12.23	Russia - China	Canceled ✺
16.12.23	Kazakhstan - China	Canceled ✺
14.12.23	Belarus - China	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 44.4 LL???
- Serbia hockey
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
10.02.24	Serbia - Great Britain	0:11 ✺
08.02.24	Romania - Serbia	4:0 ✺
17.12.23	Serbia - Croatia	4:0 ✺
15.12.23	Chinese Taipei - Serbia	0:6 ✺
14.12.23	Serbia - Turkey	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IB
27.04.23	China - Serbia	5:0
IIHF World Championship IIA
12.04.19	Serbia - China	6:5
24.04.18	China - Serbia	1:3
15.04.16	Serbia - China	3:0
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
07.11.15	Serbia - China	5:1

China - Serbia