Match Info

D1 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Corsaires de Dunkerque		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.23	4.55	2.33
	2.23	4.55	2.38	Watch
	2.2	4.33	2.3
	2.25	4.15	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.15)	4.4 ↑ (4.2)	2.35 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corsaires de Dunkerque
40.7%

Draw
20.6%

Lyon
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

21.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

22.8%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corsaires de Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corsaires de Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Corsaires de Dunkerque - Lyon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)

Preview

Lyon leads series 1-0. Second leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dunkerque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lyon has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Dunkerque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Dunkerque Corsaires	1	1	0	0	0	4:3	3
15	Lyon	1	0	0	0	1	1:3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corsaires de Dunkerque
French D1 Ice Hockey
07.03.26	Corsaires de Dunkerque - Morzine-Avoriaz	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Corsaires de Dunkerque - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	2:5 ✺
24.02.26	Corsaires de Dunkerque - Neuilly-sur-Marne	4:3 OT ✺
21.02.26	Dogs de Cholet - Corsaires de Dunkerque	2:3 OT ✺
15.02.26	Meudon - Corsaires de Dunkerque	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLWWL
- Lyon HC
French D1 Ice Hockey
07.03.26	Nantes - Lyon	1:7 ✺
03.03.26	HCMP - Lyon	2:5 ✺
28.02.26	Lyon - Tours	2:5 ✺
25.02.26	SOC Hockey sur Glace - Lyon	4:3 ✺
21.02.26	Épinal - Lyon	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
03.01.26	Corsaires de Dunkerque - Lyon	3:2
18.10.25	Lyon - Corsaires de Dunkerque	4:3

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