Match Info

D1 - Round 30

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nantes		Lyon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.63	6.06	1.55	Watch
	2.51	4.05	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.51)	5.06 ↑ (4.39)	1.86 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
30.7%

Draw
18.6%

Lyon
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

20.8%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

21.6%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantes's form might have worsened.

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nantes - Lyon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 5)
3rd Period (0 - 2)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lyon has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 3:6).

Including home match between the teams, Nantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	0	17:7	13
3	Lyon	5	3	1	0	1	17:12	11

Last Results with these Odds

Nantes - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.44%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantes Atlantique Hockey Glace
French D1 Ice Hockey
28.02.26	Épinal - Nantes	3:4 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Nantes - Morzine-Avoriaz	4:3 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Nantes	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Nantes - Neuilly-sur-Marne	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Dogs de Cholet - Nantes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWL
- Lyon HC
French D1 Ice Hockey
03.03.26	HCMP - Lyon	2:5 ✺
28.02.26	Lyon - Tours	2:5 ✺
25.02.26	SOC Hockey sur Glace - Lyon	4:3 ✺
21.02.26	Épinal - Lyon	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Morzine-Avoriaz - Lyon	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
04.10.25	Lyon - Nantes	6:3
French Hockey Cup
21.11.17	Nantes - Lyon	3:6

Nantes - Lyon