Match Info

D1 - Round 5

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Corsaires de Dunkerque		Nantes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	6.88	7.36	Watch
				Watch
	1.52	5.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)	6.04 ↑ (5.2)	5.53 ↑ (3.7)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corsaires de Dunkerque
67.7%

Draw
15.5%

Nantes
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

17.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

16.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corsaires de Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corsaires de Dunkerque's performance.

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corsaires de Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corsaires de Dunkerque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (2 - 1)

Preview

Dunkerque has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nantes is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dunkerque has had a series of home games.

Recently, Nantes has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dunkerque is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 4:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corsaires de Dunkerque
French D1 Ice Hockey
25.10.25	Corsaires de Dunkerque - Tours	9:3 ✺
French Hockey Cup
21.10.25	Corsaires de Dunkerque - Rouen	2:8 ✺
French D1 Ice Hockey
18.10.25	Lyon - Corsaires de Dunkerque	4:3 ✺
11.10.25	Corsaires de Dunkerque - Épinal	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Morzine-Avoriaz - Corsaires de Dunkerque	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- Nantes Atlantique Hockey Glace
French D1 Ice Hockey
25.10.25	Yétis du Mont-Blanc - Nantes	3:2 penalties ✺
18.10.25	SOC Hockey sur Glace - Nantes	7:2 ✺
11.10.25	Tours - Nantes	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Lyon - Nantes	6:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.09.25	Dogs de Cholet - Nantes	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
25.01.25	Corsaires de Dunkerque - Nantes	5:4 penalties
09.10.24	Nantes - Corsaires de Dunkerque	3:2 OT

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