Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Losers stage

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Meranarena (Merano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Merano Junior		Cortina

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.8	2.65
	2.09	3.68	2.63
	2.11	3.98	2.77	Watch
	2.11	3.95	2.69
	2.05	3.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.14)	3.85 ↓ (3.98)	2.7 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merano Junior
43.1%

Draw
23.4%

Cortina
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

23.1%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

24.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merano Junior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cortina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cortina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Merano Junior - Cortina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Bernard A. (G)	46. Karjalainen A. (G)
53. Larcher E.	12. Panciera G.
7. Sherbinin B.	40. Fortunato B.
11. Cruseman F.	23. Pompanin F.
14. Stefanson R.	13. Remolato N.
73. Nousiainen R.	19. Kalajanniska O.
Line 2
23. Frick N.	18. Constantini L.
27. Rein N.	11. Stoffling J.
26. Fuchs J.	28. Alvera T.
75. Trivellato D.	5. Sanna M.
13. Gellon D.	24. Barnabo L.
Line 3
5. Golser A.	89. Talamini R.
19. Beber P.	67. Pietroniro K.
20. Claesson S.	77. Pietroniro M.
9. Tomasini P.	47. Pietroniro C.
15. Mandruzzato G.	36. De Luca A.
Line 4
64. Carissimi E.	8. de Zanna R.
93. Kuppelwieser P.	65. Toffoli G.
21. Marinovich M.	97. Lacedelli G.
Substitutes
24. Gamper C. (G)	43. Pompanin A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
08:45, 1 - 0, Nousiainen R. (G), Larcher E. (A), Stefanson R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 5)
00:57, 1 - 1, Alvera T. (G), Barnabo L. (A),
06:04, 1 - 2, Kalajanniska O. (G), Fortunato B. (A),
08:20, 1 - 3, Stoffling J. (G), Pietroniro M. (A), Fortunato B. (A2)
10:04, 1 - 4, Kalajanniska O. (G), Pietroniro K. (A),
13:31, 2 - 4, Nousiainen R. (G), Stefanson R. (A),
18:59, 2 - 5, Kalajanniska O. (G), Remolato N. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
17:00, 3 - 5, Cruseman F. (G), Claesson S. (A), Tomasini P. (A2)
19:05, 4 - 5, Cruseman F. (G), Nousiainen R. (A), Stefanson R. (A2)
19:43, 4 - 6, Kalajanniska O. (G), Karjalainen A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merano won 1.

Merano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cortina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cortina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Merano won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 30:65. (average 1.7:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Merano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:31. (average 1.5:3.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
4	Merano	6	4	1	0	0	1	17:13	14
11	Cortina	5	0	1	0	1	3	10:17	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
05.02.26	Kitzbühel - Merano Junior	3:2 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Gherdëina - Merano Junior	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Merano Junior - Zell am See	4:1 ✺
22.01.26	Vipiteno - Merano Junior	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Merano Junior - Acroni Jesenice	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLW
- SG Cortina
Alps Hockey League
05.02.26	Cortina - Unterland Cavaliers	7:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ritten-Renon - Cortina	1:3 ✺
29.01.26	Cortina - Acroni Jesenice	4:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cortina - Gherdëina	5:1 ✺
22.01.26	Sisak - Cortina	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
26.12.25	Cortina - Merano Junior	3:2 penalties
09.10.25	Cortina - Merano Junior	2:3
21.09.25	Merano Junior - Cortina	0:3
18.01.25	Merano Junior - Cortina	2:3 OT
28.12.24	Merano Junior - Cortina	2:3 OT
14.11.24	Cortina - Merano Junior	6:2
14.03.24	Cortina - Merano Junior	3:2

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