Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Motorpoint Arena (Nottingham)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1


	Coventry Blaze		Nottingham Panthers

	1	X	2
	3.05	4.4	1.92
	3.09	4.49	1.85	Watch
	3	4.2	1.8
	3.35	4.33	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.5)	4.36 ↓ (4.55)	1.86 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry Blaze
29.4%

Draw
21.1%

Nottingham Panthers
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

20.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

21.6%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry Blaze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coventry Blaze's form might have worsened.

Nottingham Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nottingham Panthers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry Blaze than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coventry Blaze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Panthers than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nottingham Panthers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Coventry Blaze - Nottingham Panthers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham Panthers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Robson M. (G)	37. Carr K. (G)
7. Russell C.	70. Garat Z.
62. Vertanen J.	7. Zech C.
13. Constable G. (A)	19. Armour R.
10. Robbins A.	83. Harris B.
86. Mismash G.	17. Doherty T.
Line 2
58. Clements D. (A)	24. Spencer M.
77. Power J.	92. Stridsberg J.
40. Boysen W.	8. Marcinew M.
19. Barriga E.	12. Pearson C.
63. Gleason M.	18. Fossier M. (A)
Line 3
23. Saucerman C.	28. Noel D.
16. Tallberg K. (C)	25. Tetlow J. (A)
15. Hopkins J.	98. Henbrant D.
28. Buzoverya A.	16. Lemos B.
27. Pelech M.	64. Volcan N.
Line 4
21. Hazeldine A.	27. Ulrick F.
24. McKenzie Z.	74. Betteridge O. (C)
61. Luciani A.	14. Kelsall J.
18. Stewart M.
Substitutes
39. Bearman J. (G)	33. Sheldon L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:56, 1 - 0, Pelech M. (G), Luciani A. (A),
14:31, 1 - 1, Fossier M. (G), Tetlow J. (A), Lemos B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:35, 1 - 2, Stridsberg J. (G), Pearson C. (A),
11:56, 2 - 2, Barriga E. (G), Constable G. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
11:29, 2 - 3, Henbrant D. (G), Lemos B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry Blaze won 2.

Coventry Blaze has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nottingham Panthers is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Coventry Blaze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coventry Blaze won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 44:84. (average 2.2:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry Blaze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 2.1:4.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Coventry Blaze - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.87%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry Blaze
United Kingdom Elite League
14.03.26	Coventry Blaze - Glasgow Clan	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Manchester Storm - Coventry Blaze	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Coventry Blaze - Nottingham Panthers	1:6 ✺
07.03.26	Sheffield Steelers - Coventry Blaze	4:3 penalties ✺
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
04.03.26	Belfast Giants - Coventry Blaze	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLLW
- Nottingham Panthers
United Kingdom Elite League
15.03.26	Cardiff Devils - Nottingham Panthers	7:2 ✺
13.03.26	Nottingham Panthers - Fife Flyers	6:2 ✺
08.03.26	Coventry Blaze - Nottingham Panthers	1:6 ✺
07.03.26	Nottingham Panthers - Glasgow Clan	5:4 OT ✺
04.03.26	Nottingham Panthers - Dundee Stars	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

United Kingdom Elite League
08.03.26	Coventry Blaze - Nottingham Panthers	1:6
07.02.26	Nottingham Panthers - Coventry Blaze	1:2 penalties
01.01.26	Coventry Blaze - Nottingham Panthers	3:4 OT
31.12.25	Nottingham Panthers - Coventry Blaze	4:5
15.11.25	Coventry Blaze - Nottingham Panthers	3:5
01.11.25	Nottingham Panthers - Coventry Blaze	5:2
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
22.10.25	Nottingham Panthers - Coventry Blaze	3:2 penalties

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