Match Info

Challenge Cup

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Manchester Storm		Coventry Blaze

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.40	2.55
	2.2	4.51	2.5
	2.16	4.54	2.48	Watch
	2.19	4.15	2.43
	2.16	4.2	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.12)	4.36 ↓ (4.48)	2.48 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester Storm
42.1%

Draw
21%

Coventry Blaze
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

20.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

21.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Coventry Blaze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester Storm than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry Blaze than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Lineups

Line 1
44. Deridder D. (G)	50. Fitzpatrick E. (G)
90. Dow D.	37. Grima N.
6. Harrison C. (C)	6. Nielsen A.
29. Cutler B.	77. Ness G.
19. Gilmour B.	10. Kaspick T. (A)
96. Karlsson A.	63. Gleason M.
Line 2
5. Locke K.	7. Russell C.
7. Clavelle B.	4. Musser C.
12. Johnson S. (A)	40. Boysen W.
23. McGauley T.	28. Buzoverya A.
9. Maksimovich K.	11. Perlini B. (A)
Line 3
4. Busby D.	58. Clements D. (C)
8. Jenion B.	22. Csollak M.
71. Lee C.	18. Richardson R.
79. Dudek J.	14. MacArthur C.
14. Ulett L. (A)	27. Ezman J.
Line 4
	15. Hopkins J.
	9. Ruffin S.
	8. Capps B.
Substitutes
74. Francis R.	39. Bearman J. (G)
34. Malone T.
35. Weninger E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:11, 0 - 1, Perlini B. (G), Russell C. (A), Boysen W. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:26, 0 - 2, Gleason M. (G), Grima N. (A), Nielsen A. (A2)
16:06, 1 - 2, Locke K. (G), Dudek J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Manchester (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Coventry Blaze has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Coventry Blaze could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Manchester has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:62 (averaging 3.1:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Manchester against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 28:25 goals (averaging 3.5:3.1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Manchester Storm - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.33%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester Storm
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
28.10.26	Sheffield Steelers - Manchester Storm	5:2 ✺
United Kingdom Elite League
24.10.26	Fife Flyers - Manchester Storm	2:6 ✺
18.10.26	Manchester Storm - Belfast Giants	4:5 OT ✺
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
17.10.26	Guildford Flames - Manchester Storm	4:3 penalties ✺
11.10.26	Manchester Storm - Sheffield Steelers	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Coventry Blaze
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
25.10.26	Coventry Blaze - Guildford Flames	3:5 ✺
24.10.26	Guildford Flames - Coventry Blaze	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Coventry Blaze - Nottingham Panthers	2:1 penalties ✺
17.10.26	Cardiff Devils - Coventry Blaze	5:4 OT ✺
United Kingdom Elite League
11.10.26	Coventry Blaze - Dundee Stars	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

United Kingdom Elite League
04.10.26	Coventry Blaze - Manchester Storm	3:1
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
19.09.26	Coventry Blaze - Manchester Storm	3:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Coventry Blaze - Manchester Storm	3:1
United Kingdom Elite League
13.03.26	Manchester Storm - Coventry Blaze	1:2
22.02.26	Coventry Blaze - Manchester Storm	2:1 OT
01.02.26	Coventry Blaze - Manchester Storm	4:3 OT
14.12.25	Coventry Blaze - Manchester Storm	2:3 penalties

Manchester Storm - Coventry Blaze