Match Info

HUNGARY: Erste Liga

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday

Location: Patinoarul Lajos Vákár (Miercurea Ciuc)


	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	2.17	4	2.55
	2.28	4.21	2.47
	2.25	3.9	2.5
	2.26	3.9	2.5
	2.17	4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.93)	4 ↓ (4.06)	2.51 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
41%

Draw
22.8%

Ferencvárosi
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

22.6%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

22.8%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc's performance.

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferencvárosi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferencvárosi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Adorjan A. (G)	30. Nagy K. (G)
70. Pivtsakin N.	23. Karmeniemi L.
44. Davis K.	44. Tyni P.
66. Peter B.	18. Mattyasovszky G.
29. Reszegh T. (A)	9. Brady A. (C)
58. Forsberg F.	88. Turbucz M. (A)
Line 2
93. Laday T.	10. Crespi J.
55. Sallo A.	27. Seregely M.
20. Becze T. (C)	71. Keranen M.
27. Honejsek A.	25. Kestila A.
36. Rokaly S.	14. Molnar D.
Line 3
88. Ferencz R.	6. Haranghy B.
95. Gecse H. (A)	55. Helgesen T.
10. Fodor C.	66. Toth G. (A)
3. Reisz A.	20. Ring L.
96. Rokaly N.	92. Razumnyak V.
Line 4
76. Kristo C.	8. Karpati K.
9. Sillo A.	26. Ban K.
80. Tarasov D.	11. Banga N.
97. Marton B.
22. Lorraine J.
Substitutes
72. Ambrus L. (G)	59. Arany G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
01:03, 1 - 0, Becze T. (G), Rokaly S. (A), Honejsek A. (A2)
12:09, 1 - 1, Kestila A. (G), Tyni P. (A), Molnar D. (A2)
15:44, 1 - 2, Tyni P. (G),
19:59, 1 - 3, Keranen M. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:33, 2 - 3, Tarasov D. (G), Pivtsakin N. (A), Becze T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
03:18, 2 - 4, Molnar D. (G),
12:06, 2 - 5, Mattyasovszky G. (G), Brady A. (A),
16:05, 2 - 6, Razumnyak V. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Csíkszereda won 1.

Csíkszereda is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Csíkszereda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Csíkszereda have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Csíkszereda won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 53:67 (average 2.7:3.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Csíkszereda won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:27 (average 3.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSC Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
01.01.25	Gyergyói - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	3:2 ✺
30.12.24	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Gyergyói	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Corona Brașov - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Ferencvárosi - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	3:2 OT ✺
20.12.24	Újpest - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL
- Ferencvárosi TC Hockey
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
30.12.24	Újpest - Ferencvárosi	1:2 penalties ✺
28.12.24	DVTK Jegesmedvék - Ferencvárosi	3:2 ✺
22.12.24	Ferencvárosi - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	3:2 OT ✺
20.12.24	DEAC Debrecen - Ferencvárosi	5:1 ✺
18.12.24	Ferencvárosi - Dunaújvárosi Acélbikák	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
22.12.24	Ferencvárosi - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	3:2 OT
30.11.24	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Ferencvárosi	2:3
13.10.24	Ferencvárosi - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1:2 penalties
31.03.24	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Ferencvárosi	1:2 OT
29.03.24	Ferencvárosi - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	3:1
27.03.24	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Ferencvárosi	1:4
26.03.24	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Ferencvárosi	4:0

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