Match Info

D1 - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes		Dogs de Cholet

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.39	4.97	2.14	Watch
	2.41	4.33	2.16
	2.4	4.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.3)	4.57 ↓ (4.75)	2.13 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diables Rouges de Valenciennes
37.7%

Draw
19.8%

Dogs de Cholet
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

18.8%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

17.8%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diables Rouges de Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Dogs de Cholet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diables Rouges de Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dogs de Cholet than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Dogs de Cholet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
3rd Period (2 - 3)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Valenciennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 2.3:5).

Including home match between the teams, Valenciennes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Cholet	1	0	0	1	0	2:3	1
16	Valenciennes	1	0	0	0	1	0:3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diables Rouges de Valenciennes
French D1 Ice Hockey
13.01.26	Strasbourg - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	5:4 penalties ✺
10.01.26	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Drakkars de Caen	6:3 ✺
03.01.26	HCMP - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	3:4 OT ✺
20.12.25	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Meudon	6:7 ✺
13.12.25	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Corsaires de Dunkerque	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLL
- Dogs de Cholet
French D1 Ice Hockey
14.01.26	Dogs de Cholet - Neuilly-sur-Marne	4:3 ✺
10.01.26	SOC Hockey sur Glace - Dogs de Cholet	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Dogs de Cholet - Drakkars de Caen	3:5 ✺
13.12.25	Meudon - Dogs de Cholet	3:2 ✺
10.12.25	Dogs de Cholet - Villard-de-Lans	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
01.11.25	Dogs de Cholet - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	7:2
26.02.25	Dogs de Cholet - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	2:5
11.11.24	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Dogs de Cholet	0:6

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