The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dinamo St. Petersburg 37.6%
Draw 26.4%
Molot Perm 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
23.5%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
25.2%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo St. Petersburg's form might have worsened.
Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo St. Petersburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molot Perm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dinamo St. Petersburg - Molot Perm Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Kulikov D. (G)
90. Guskov Y. (G)
67. Sarayev V.
12. Glukhov N.
26. Salakhov M. (A)
55. Kozhevnikov A.
72. Prokhorov D.
15. Zenchikov I.
12. Chernov A.
10. Plastinin V.
99. Boikov L.
81. Galimzyanov R.
Line 2
79. Tikhonov M.
83. Basistyj K.
33. Smirnov N.
89. Malyavin A.
96. Zinchenko I.
34. Mikhasyonok V.
93. Zugan D.
61. Polyakov V.
23. Kotkov V.
51. Kitsyn M.
Line 3
14. Nurgaliyev E.
42. Labutkin Y.
7. Kozlovsky Y. (A)
44. Yerokhin A.
47. Grebenshchikov S.
11. Lapin D.
78. Nechayev A.
71. Kolesnikov Y.
8. Ogirchuk D.
22. Sinyavsky P.
Line 4
76. Stepanov D.
59. Sokolov N.
11. Yezhov I.
18. Shcherbakov P.
42. Zhukenov D.
13. Yabelov D.
94. Pukhov N. (C)
95. Shlykov V.
Substitutes
22. Velmakin Y. (G)
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:00, 0 - 1, Sinyavsky P. (G), Kolesnikov Y. (A),
15:26, 1 - 1, Sarayev V. (G), Grebenshchikov S. (A), Salakhov M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:35, 1 - 2, Kozhevnikov A. (G),
12:58, 2 - 2, Tikhonov M. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:27, 2 - 3, Lapin D. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 4.
Recent form of Dinamo SP has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Molot is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Molot has had a series of home games.
Dinamo SP will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Molot will win today's game, with odds of 2.97.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 64:52. (average 3.2:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo SP won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:26. (average 3.3:2.6).