The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Molot Perm 24.3%
Draw 22.3%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 53.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
23%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
23.8%
46.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Novokuznetsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molot Perm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
30%
60%
Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Metallurg N will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Metallurg N: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Metallurg Novokuznetsk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
12. Glukhov N. (C)
47. Churkin V.
55. Kozhevnikov A.
75. Starikov L.
15. Zenchikov I.
17. Sokolov D.
10. Plastinin V. (A)
40. Apalkov D.
81. Galimzyanov R.
33. Shablovsky Z.
Line 2
89. Malyavin A.
54. Chibrikov I.
16. Averin N.
77. Vinogradov A.
19. Rogovsky I.
88. Shalagin M.
61. Polyakov V.
21. Kodola V.
51. Kitsyn M. (A)
61. Gorshkov A.
Line 3
42. Labutkin Y.
8. Naumov V.
44. Yerokhin A.
9. Belov D.
76. Migur A.
97. Ovchinnikov D.
13. Yabelov D.
24. Khrapov F.
92. Kazakov M.
10. Sheshin D.
Line 4
96. Ulyev M.
26. Tkach S.
11. Lapin D.
14. Mikhalyov V.
95. Shlykov V.
50. Kurbatov V.
22. Sinyavsky P.
89. Guslistov N.
Substitutes
90. Guskov Y. (G)
94. Bogdanov N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:53, 0 - 1, Shalagin M. (G), Naumov V. (A), Ovchinnikov D. (A2)
06:01, 1 - 1, Sinyavsky P. (G), Lapin D. (A), Shlykov V. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:35, 2 - 1, Zenchikov I. (G), Lapin D. (A), Kozhevnikov A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3.
Molot has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Metallurg N is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Metallurg N is the team to beat.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Molot won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 41:56. (average 2.3:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.5:2.9).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Perm
11
6
2
0
3
29:20
16
9
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
12
6
0
3
3
22:14
15
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 47.79%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
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Gorshkov Y. (G) 
Kodola V. 
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