Match Info

VHL

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Molot Sports Hall (Perm)


	Molot Perm		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.81	3.52
	1.85	4.1	3.56	Watch
	1.71	3.85	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)	3.92 ↓ (4)	3.61 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
51.1%

Draw
23.5%

Norilsk
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

22.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

23.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Molot Perm - Norilsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Molot (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)
12. Glukhov N. (C)	64. Minayev Y.
55. Kozhevnikov A.	28. Makeyev N.
15. Zenchikov I.	56. Mokin N. (C)
10. Plastinin V. (A)	11. Shevchenko V. (A)
81. Galimzyanov R.	93. Korenev I.
Line 2
83. Basistyj K.	82. Bulychyov G.
16. Averin N.	44. Kovalev I.
34. Mikhasyonok V.	10. Lipanov A.
61. Polyakov V.	92. Yakovlev Y. (A)
51. Kitsyn M. (A)	63. Yemets I.
Line 3
42. Labutkin Y.	79. Chebykin Y.
44. Yerokhin A.	21. Kolomiytsev I.
11. Lapin D.	71. Golodnyuk S.
71. Kolesnikov Y.	51. Popov O.
22. Sinyavsky P.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 4
96. Ulyev M.	72. Korchemkin D.
18. Shcherbakov P.	91. Lazarev A.
13. Yabelov D.	86. Melnichenko K.
95. Shlykov V.	19. Aksenov A.
Substitutes
90. Guskov Y. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
16:24, 0 - 1, Korenev I. (G), Aksenov A. (A), Kovalev I. (A2)
17:40, 1 - 1, Kolesnikov Y. (G), Lapin D. (A), Kozhevnikov A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:11, 2 - 1, Kitsyn M. (G), Mikhasyonok V. (A), Basistyj K. (A2)
07:18, 3 - 1, Yabelov D. (G), Glukhov N. (A), Shlykov V. (A2)
13:32, 3 - 2, Mokin N. (G), Korenev I. (A), Skorikov D. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
05:55, 4 - 2, Plastinin V. (G), Galimzyanov R. (A),
07:02, 5 - 2, Polyakov V. (G), Mikhasyonok V. (A),
09:46, 5 - 3, Yemets I. (G),
18:28, 6 - 3, Polyakov V. (G),

Preview

Molot has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Norilsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Norilsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Molot might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Molot will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 2.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Perm	11	6	2	0	3	29:20	16
8	HC Norilsk	13	6	1	2	4	27:29	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Molot Perm
VHL
23.01.26	Molot Perm - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:4 penalties ✺
21.01.26	Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 OT ✺
19.01.26	Molot Perm - Dynamo-Altay	3:2 ✺
14.01.26	Tambov - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Rostov - Molot Perm	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
24.01.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk	5:2 ✺
22.01.26	Izhstal - Norilsk	1:6 ✺
18.01.26	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	2:3 ✺
16.01.26	Norilsk - Dizel Penza	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Norilsk - Ryazan	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
25.10.25	Norilsk - Molot Perm	4:1
14.01.25	Molot Perm - Norilsk	3:2 penalties
07.11.24	Norilsk - Molot Perm	3:5
06.02.24	Norilsk - Molot Perm	2:1 OT
14.09.23	Molot Perm - Norilsk	4:3

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