Match Info

VHL

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	3.37	3.55	1.96
	2.94	3.95	2.1	Watch
	2.85	3.85	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.4)	3.78 ↓ (3.79)	2.02 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
30.1%

Draw
24.3%

Molot Perm
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

24.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SKA-VMF's form might have worsened.

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molot Perm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-VMF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

SKA VMF - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Moysevich P. (G)	40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
14. Shekhovtsov Y. (A)	12. Glukhov N. (C)
47. Zelenov Y.	55. Kozhevnikov A.
97. Nugmanov A.	15. Zenchikov I.
17. Kabush M. (A)	10. Plastinin V. (A)
91. Lutfullin I.	81. Galimzyanov R.
Line 2
84. Vydrenkov I.	83. Basistyj K.
80. Gryaznov G. (C)	16. Averin N.
39. Kuzminov Y.	34. Mikhasyonok V.
83. Shamshurin S.	61. Polyakov V.
16. Demidov S.	51. Kitsyn M. (A)
Line 3
21. Kalinin N.	42. Labutkin Y.
48. Salnikov E.	89. Malyavin A.
96. Kabat M.	11. Lapin D.
6. Marchenko T.	71. Kolesnikov Y.
23. Osipov G.	22. Sinyavsky P.
Line 4
27. Sapunov V.	59. Sokolov N.
63. Anisimov S.	18. Shcherbakov P.
10. Ignatov I.	13. Yabelov D.
11. Gorbushin M.	95. Shlykov V.
56. Khanin M.
Substitutes
74. Podlyagin N. (G)	90. Guskov Y. (G)
30. Zavragin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
02:36, 1 - 0, Lutfullin I. (G), Nugmanov A. (A),
05:31, 1 - 1, Zenchikov I. (G), Averin N. (A),
14:47, 1 - 2, Shlykov V. (G), Labutkin Y. (A), Yabelov D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
13:32, 1 - 3, Kitsyn M. (G), Mikhasyonok V. (A), Glukhov N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:08, 2 - 3, Kabush M. (G), Shekhovtsov Y. (A), Lutfullin I. (A2)
19:57, 2 - 4, Kitsyn M. (G), Mikhasyonok V. (A), Gorshkov Y. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Molot has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 55:50. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 3:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Perm	11	6	2	0	3	29:20	16
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Molot Perm - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.45%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
28.01.26	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
26.01.26	SKA-VMF - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
22.01.26	Kristall Saratov - SKA-VMF	1:4 ✺
20.01.26	Dizel Penza - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Ryazan - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLL
- HC Molot Perm
VHL
26.01.26	Molot Perm - Norilsk	6:3 ✺
23.01.26	Molot Perm - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:4 penalties ✺
21.01.26	Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 OT ✺
19.01.26	Molot Perm - Dynamo-Altay	3:2 ✺
14.01.26	Tambov - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.10.25	Molot Perm - SKA-VMF	2:1 penalties
16.03.25	SKA-VMF - Molot Perm	3:6
13.09.24	Molot Perm - SKA-VMF	5:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.24	Molot Perm - SKA-VMF	2:1
VHL
27.11.23	Molot Perm - SKA-VMF	2:0
15.11.23	SKA-VMF - Molot Perm	0:2
09.01.23	SKA-VMF - Molot Perm	5:2

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