Match Info

Date: 12 February 2021, Friday


	Dubuque Fighting Saints		Waterloo Black Hawks

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.78	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	4.78 ↑ (4.7)	2.93 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubuque Fighting Saints
50.2%

Draw
18.9%

Waterloo Black Hawks
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

19.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

15%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubuque Fighting Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Waterloo Black Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubuque Fighting Saints than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dubuque Fighting Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterloo Black Hawks than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waterloo Black Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Dubuque is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Waterloo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dubuque could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dubuque have a series of guest games.

Recently Waterloo have a series of home games.

Dubuque will have a poor advantage in this game.

Dubuque will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Dubuque won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 47-65.

Including matches at home between the teams Dubuque won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dubuque Fighting Saints
USHL
31.01.21	Des Moines Buccaneers - Dubuque Fighting Saints	6:4 ✺
30.01.21	Des Moines Buccaneers - Dubuque Fighting Saints	2:3
29.01.21	Waterloo Black Hawks - Dubuque Fighting Saints	1:4
26.01.21	Waterloo Black Hawks - Dubuque Fighting Saints	4:5
16.01.21	Dubuque Fighting Saints - Des Moines Buccaneers	5:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWW
- Waterloo Black Hawks
USHL
06.02.21	Waterloo Black Hawks - Fargo Force	1:2
05.02.21	Waterloo Black Hawks - Fargo Force	2:3
29.01.21	Waterloo Black Hawks - Dubuque Fighting Saints	1:4
26.01.21	Waterloo Black Hawks - Dubuque Fighting Saints	4:5
23.01.21	Waterloo Black Hawks - Sioux City Musketeers	4:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USHL
29.01.21	Waterloo Black Hawks - Dubuque Fighting Saints	1:4
26.01.21	Waterloo Black Hawks - Dubuque Fighting Saints	4:5
15.01.21	Dubuque Fighting Saints - Waterloo Black Hawks	7:4
13.04.19	Dubuque Fighting Saints - Waterloo Black Hawks	2:6
12.04.19	Waterloo Black Hawks - Dubuque Fighting Saints	2:1
19.01.19	Waterloo Black Hawks - Dubuque Fighting Saints	5:0
18.01.19	Dubuque Fighting Saints - Waterloo Black Hawks	2:4

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