Match Info

ELJ - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Verejne sportoviste pro ledni sporty (Jihlava)


	Dukla Jihlava U20		Sparta U20 Prague

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.25	2.12
	2.36	4.01	2.38
	1.67	5.03	3.46	Watch
	2.67	4.15	2.12
	2.5	4.25	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.66)	4.34 ↑ (4.08)	2.44 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dukla Jihlava U20
40%

Draw
21.6%

Sparta U20 Prague
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

22.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

22.2%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dukla Jihlava U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dukla Jihlava U20's performance.

Sparta U20 Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Jihlava U20 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dukla Jihlava U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta U20 Prague than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta U20 Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dukla Jihlava U20 - Sparta U20 Prague Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Tulacek M. (G)	2. Vedral S. (G)
24. Adamec S.	26. Blengino A.
4. Cerny J.	8. Burda A.
16. Chlubna T.	20. Byakov A. (C)
10. Chvatal O.	15. Cerny V.
27. Duben M.	16. Fabry A.
22. Fiala M.	17. Hlinka T.
20. Jeletz D.	13. Kadlec O.
21. Kouba M.	27. Kurka A.
17. Kudrna V.	14. Marek A.
13. Kupco J.	19. Nedved M.
18. Ledl M.	23. Nejedly R.
26. Loffler D.	18. Novak F.
6. Mrtka P. (A)	29. Odehnal M.
11. Nosek R. (A)	9. Petrovic D.
23. Pes H.	10. Sichtar S.
7. Prazak M.	11. Stekly V. (A)
8. Vana R. (C)	4. Ulehla E.
25. Vildomec M.	24. Vrzal T.
9. Zmrhal D.
Substitutes
1. Bican P. (G)	1. Zbanek S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:15, 1 - 0, Pes H. (G), Kudrna V. (A), Mrtka P. (A2)
19:28, 1 - 1, Cerny V. (G), Burda A. (A), Novak F. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:42, 2 - 1, Mrtka P. (G), Kupco J. (A), Fiala M. (A2)
14:05, 2 - 2, Odehnal M. (G), Stekly V. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:58, 2 - 3, Kurka A. (G), Fabry A. (A), Vrzal T. (A2)
11:30, 3 - 3, Cerny J. (G), Jeletz D. (A), Vildomec M. (A2)
14:30, 4 - 3, Vana R. (G),
19:30, 5 - 3, Pes H. (G), Jeletz D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jihlava U20 won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jihlava U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jihlava U20 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 55:73. (average 2.9:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jihlava U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 3.3:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta U20 Prague - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.17%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dukla Jihlava U20
Czech ELJ
29.09.25	Dukla Jihlava U20 - Kometa Brno U20	6:5 ✺
27.09.25	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Dukla Jihlava U20	6:1 ✺
26.09.25	Zlin U20 - Dukla Jihlava U20	5:2 ✺
19.09.25	Dukla Jihlava U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Dukla Jihlava U20	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL
- HC Sparta U20 Prague
Czech ELJ
29.09.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Slavia Prague U20	5:1 ✺
27.09.25	Poruba U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	4:1 ✺
26.09.25	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Oceláři Třinec U20	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Sparta U20 Prague - Zlin U20	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
10.02.25	Dukla Jihlava U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	5:3
04.01.25	Dukla Jihlava U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	2:3 penalties
30.11.24	Dukla Jihlava U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	3:5
05.10.24	Sparta U20 Prague - Dukla Jihlava U20	5:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.24	Sparta U20 Prague - Dukla Jihlava U20	6:5 OT
07.08.24	Dukla Jihlava U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	5:6 penalties
Czech ELJ
22.03.24	Dukla Jihlava U20 - Sparta U20 Prague	3:4 OT

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