The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EC KAC 64%
Draw 18.3%
Villacher 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
19.1%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
20%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC KAC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
EC KAC - Villacher Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Vorauer F. (G)
35. Cannata J. (G)
82. Nickl T.
52. Sproul R. (A)
92. Unterweger C. (A)
6. Walford S.
94. Drozg J.
72. Hughes J. (A)
9. Mursak J.
19. Cramarossa J.
8. Petersen N.
8. Rebernig M.
Line 2
28. Goransson M.
26. Larochelle S.
41. Jensen J. (A)
55. Schreier L.
98. Obersteiner D.
91. Andersson L.
74. St. Denis T.
16. Hancock K.
90. Fraser M.
41. Teasdale J.
Line 3
64. Preiml M.
43. Raspotnig J.
3. MacKinnon W.
71. Strong S.
16. Schwinger S.
17. Metzler J.
27. Hundertpfund T. (C)
78. Maxa F. (C)
89. Herburger R.
40. Wallenta E.
Line 4
39. Simovic F.
62. Nindler D.
45. Ofner B.
11. Sintschnig J.
19. Waschnig D.
63. Topalovic B.
81. van Ee F.
6. Sablattnig T.
Substitutes
32. Dahm S. (G)
37. Swette R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
02:25, 1 - 0, Sablattnig T. (G), Waschnig D. (A), Preiml M. (A2)
07:45, 2 - 0, Waschnig D. (G), Jensen J. (A), MacKinnon W. (A2)
14:17, 3 - 0, Petersen N. (G), Schwinger S. (A), Mursak J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:20, 3 - 1, Metzler J. (G), Maxa F. (A), Wallenta E. (A2)
08:51, 4 - 1, Hundertpfund T. (G), Herburger R. (A), Schwinger S. (A2)
14:54, 5 - 1, St. Denis T. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:57, 6 - 1, Sablattnig T. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EC KAC won 4.
EC KAC has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Villach has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Villach could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, EC KAC is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, EC KAC has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 73:48 (averaging 3.7:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for EC KAC against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 37:17 goals (averaging 4.1:1.9 per game).