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Current Win Probability
EHC Basel 41%
Draw 23.1%
Thurgau 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
22.6%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
24.8%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EHC Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Thurgau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Basel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
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Lineups
Line 1
42. Haller F. (G)
31. Simmchen S. (G)
67. Aeschlimann M.
47. Villa A.
7. Nater J.
11. Marchand L.
94. Kummer D.
16. Haas K.
71. Supinski B. (C)
90. Ljunggren D.
10. Stukel J.
14. Okabe Z.
Line 2
9. Thiry T.
19. Murer F.
18. Bisig R.
3. Hinder L.
66. Barbei G.
15. Diethelm M.
23. Fuss N.
46. Rundkvist A.
8. Liniger L.
88. Binias D.
Line 3
24. Bachofner L.
59. Deussen L.
15. Guignard A.
18. Kuhni K.
17. Schaub J.
38. Munger K. L.
28. Schlapfer E.
22. Truog L. C.
6. Serkins D.
13. Derungs I.
Line 4
13. Landskroner M.
78. Lindemann K.
14. Blaser J.
6. Geisser M.
21. Hamr D.
7. Embacher J.
51. Brugger S.
24. Hobi D. (C)
77. Revesz M.
79. Etter K.
Substitutes
32. Henauer A. (G)
81. Neuenschwander E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
11:51, 1 - 0, Schlapfer E. (G), Brugger S. (A), Supinski B. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:56, 1 - 1, Rundkvist A. (G), Binias D. (A), Diethelm M. (A2)
16:24, 2 - 1, Stukel J. (G), Schlapfer E. (A), Supinski B. (A2)
17:57, 3 - 1, Aeschlimann M. (G), Supinski B. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:03, 4 - 1, Supinski B. (G), Stukel J. (A), Kummer D. (A2)
15:22, 4 - 2, Zachary O. (G), Truog L. C. (A), Ljunggren D. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EHC Basel won 1.
EHC Basel has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Thurgau has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Thurgau may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Thurgau has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, EHC Basel has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:45 (averaging 2.6:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for EHC Basel against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 31:18 goals (averaging 2.8:1.6 per game).