Match Info

DEL2 - Round 30

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Echte Helden Arena (Freiburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdeuschland


	EHC Freiburg		Weiden

	1	X	2
	2	4.3	2.8
	2.02	3.95	2.8
	2.07	4.1	2.93	Watch
	2	3.9	2.75
	2.03	3.92	2.86
	2.05	3.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)	3.99 ↓ (4.04)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Freiburg
44.9%

Draw
22.8%

Weiden
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

22.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

21.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Weiden have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weiden than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

EHC Freiburg - Weiden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
64. Cerveny P. (G)	60. Noack F. (G)
61. Hempel N.	26. Schwaiger D.
7. Ventela S.	3. Muck T.
13. Ilestedt F.	19. Voyer A.
9. Linsenmaier N.	88. Samanski No.
84. Elo E.	8. Samanski Ne.
Line 2
86. De Los Rios A.	79. Pokorny C.
8. Schlenker C.	27. Bohac D.
89. Muhlbauer L.	89. Ward T.
21. Ewanyk T.	71. Schiemenz C.
71. O'Donnell S.	7. Glaser L.
Line 3
77. Heider P.	11. Marusch L.
95. Kuhnhauser K.	43. Ribnitzky F.
91. Schwamberger T.	24. Vinzens P.
57. Kretschmann C.	15. Voit F.
67. Airich J.	47. Filin V.
Line 4
27. Trinkberger D.	6. Edfelder M.
97. Ludwig F.	13. Vogt C.
44. Majher L.	72. Thal G.
	86. Schwarz T.
Substitutes
40. Hegmann F. (G)	34. McNiven M. (G)
Coaches
. Faith J.	. Buchwieser S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:19, 1 - 0, Elo E. (G), Ilestedt F. (A), Linsenmaier N. (A2)
18:57, 1 - 1, Ward T. (G), Muck T. (A), Voyer A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
07:15, 2 - 1, Elo E. (G), Ilestedt F. (A), Linsenmaier N. (A2)
18:57, 3 - 1, Elo E. (G), Kuhnhauser K. (A), Ilestedt F. (A2)
19:59, 4 - 1, Muhlbauer L. (G), Ewanyk T. (A), O'Donnell S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:59, 4 - 2, Voyer A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1.

Recent performances by Freiburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Weiden has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Freiburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Freiburg will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.8:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

Last Results with these Odds

EHC Freiburg - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.04%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Freiburg
German DEL2
28.12.25	Landshut Cannibals - EHC Freiburg	4:3 ✺
26.12.25	Kaufbeuren - EHC Freiburg	4:2 ✺
23.12.25	EHC Freiburg - Bietigheim-Bissingen	5:3 ✺
21.12.25	Dusseldorfer EG - EHC Freiburg	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	EHC Freiburg - Crimmitschau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWWW
- 1. EV Weiden
German DEL2
28.12.25	Weiden - Krefeld Pinguine	0:1 penalties ✺
26.12.25	Weiden - Lausitzer Füchse	3:4 OT ✺
23.12.25	Kassel Huskies - Weiden	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Weiden - Ravensburg	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Starbulls Rosenheim - Weiden	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
16.11.25	Weiden - EHC Freiburg	3:2
26.09.25	EHC Freiburg - Weiden	0:4
02.02.25	EHC Freiburg - Weiden	3:4
28.12.24	Weiden - EHC Freiburg	5:2
01.11.24	EHC Freiburg - Weiden	2:1
27.09.24	Weiden - EHC Freiburg	3:2

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