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Current Win Probability
EHC Freiburg 46.3%
Draw 22%
Weiden 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.9%
21.7%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
22.1%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EHC Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EHC Freiburg's form might have worsened.
Weiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weiden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EHC Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weiden than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weiden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
EHC Freiburg - Weiden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Schmidt O. (G)
65. Muhlberger P. (G)
27. Plouffe D.
79. Pokorny C.
86. De Los Rios A.
27. Bohac D.
20. McCallum L.
9. Knackstedt J.
9. Linsenmaier N.
91. Regush M.
13. Ilestedt F.
92. Tracey B.
Line 2
55. Wirth M.
2. Jiranek B.
95. Kuhnhauser K.
47. Filin V.
93. Bowles P.
75. Golod M.
98. Gallant C.
15. Jahnke C.
12. Dopfner A.
19. Voyer A.
Line 3
19. Sezemsky T.
11. Marusch L.
11. Gnyp S.
16. Faulhaber P.
81. Billich C.
23. Ribarik L.
21. Kiefersauer C.
24. Postel N.
89. Muhlbauer L.
20. Brunner M.
Line 4
8. Schlenker C.
21. Hofverberg E.
23. Bechtold P.
22. Grimm Y.
15. Steinhauser L.
77. Gron T.
68. Ludwig F.
Substitutes
76. Goss C. (G)
74. McLeod C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:47, 1 - 0, Kuhnhauser K. (G), Linsenmaier N. (A), Ilestedt F. (A2)
11:31, 1 - 1, Regush M. (G), Knackstedt J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:43, 1 - 2, Regush M. (G), Tracey B. (A), Gron T. (A2)
10:35, 2 - 2, Muhlbauer L. (G), McCallum L. (A), Plouffe D. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
00:05, 3 - 2, McCallum L. (G), Plouffe D. (A),
17:19, 4 - 2, Kiefersauer C. (G),
17:54, 4 - 3, Voyer A. (G), Jahnke C. (A), Knackstedt J. (A2)
18:22, 5 - 3, Wirth M. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2.
Freiburg is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Weiden has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Freiburg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Freiburg has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:25 (averaging 2.4:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Freiburg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 2.3:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
11
Weiden
12
4
0
2
6
36:51
14
13
Freiburg
12
3
1
2
6
27:37
13
Last Results with these Odds
Weiden - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.45%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Schmidt O. (G) 
Plouffe D. 
Bohac D. 
Ilestedt F. 
Gallant C. 
Dopfner A. 
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