Match Info

DEL - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Saturn Arena (Ingolstadt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	ERC Ingolstadt		Kölner Haie

	1	X	2
	2.65	4.5	2.05	Watch
	2.70	4.40	2.10
	2.8	4.15	2.14
	2.83	4.19	2.09
	2.7	4.6	2.1	Watch
	2.8	4.1	2.06
	2.77	4.45	2.08	Watch
	2.85	4.2	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.59)	4.32 ↓ (4.38)	2.08 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ERC Ingolstadt
33.7%

Draw
21.5%

Kölner Haie
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

21.3%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

22.1%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Kölner Haie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kölner Haie than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Stettmer J. (G)	30. Juvonen J. (G)
25. Huttl L. (A)	13. Kemilainen V.
75. Breton A.	47. Vittasmaki V.
37. Barber R.	71. Fischbuch D.
98. Abbandonato P.	89. MacLeod G.
92. Schmolz D.	92. Noebels M.
Line 2
4. Ellis M. (C)	94. Press R.
14. Wasenden E.	17. Sennhenn J.
17. Girduckis A.	15. Aubry L.
9. Powell M.	61. Ljungh M.
91. Sheen R.	77. MacInnis R.
Line 3
55. Tropmann E.	91. Muller Mor. (C)
2. Ruopp S.	57. Austin B. (A)
8. Pul E.	29. Fleischer T.
89. Keating A.	21. Tyrvainen J. (A)
11. Agostino K.	9. Kammerer M.
Line 4
21. Appendino N.	7. Handel C.
24. Vinzens P.	65. Munzenberger M.
86. Pietta D. (A)	19. Storm F.
44. Schindler N.	46. Niedenz K.
Substitutes
31. Williams D. (G)	33. Wiens N. (G)
Coaches
. French M.	. Berglund T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
02:30, 1 - 0, Barber R. (G), Abbandonato P. (A), Schmolz D. (A2)
11:09, Schindler N. (2 min),
11:59, 1 - 1, Aubry L. (G), Press R. (A), Ljungh M. (A2)
16:56, 1 - 2, Ljungh M. (G), Muller Mor. (A), Aubry L. (A2)
17:41, 1 - 3, Storm F. (G), Munzenberger M. (A), Niedenz K. (A2)
18:41, Fischbuch D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:39, Muller Mor. (2 min),
07:02, 2 - 3, Agostino K. (G), Pul E. (A), Abbandonato P. (A2)
10:13, 2 - 4, Tyrvainen J. (G), Fleischer T. (A), Austin B. (A2)
13:58, MacInnis R. (2 min),
16:26, 2 - 5, Fischbuch D. (G), MacLeod G. (A), Noebels M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:39, Girduckis A. (2 min),
02:32, MacLeod G. (2 min),
04:08, 2 - 6, Ljungh M. (G),
08:02, Pietta D. (2 min),
17:33, 3 - 6, Barber R. (G), Schmolz D. (A), Abbandonato P. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Kölner Haie has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Kölner Haie is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ingolstadt has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:64 (averaging 3.3:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ingolstadt against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 39:32 goals (averaging 3.9:3.2 per game).

Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now

ERC Ingolstadt: 9.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Kolner	7	2	1	1	3	28:32	9
11	ERC Ingolstadt	7	2	1	0	4	19:25	8

Last Results with these Odds

Kölner Haie - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
02.10.26	Krefeld Pinguine - ERC Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Adler Mannheim	3:2 OT ✺
25.09.26	Straubing Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	2:6 ✺
18.09.26	Iserlohn Roosters - ERC Ingolstadt	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- Kölner Haie
German Ice Hockey League
02.10.26	Kölner Haie - EHC München	2:4 ✺
27.09.26	Augsburger Panther - Kölner Haie	4:6 ✺
25.09.26	Kölner Haie - Eisbären Berlin	5:6 penalties ✺
20.09.26	Kölner Haie - Frankfurt Lions	4:3 AET ✺
18.09.26	Kölner Haie - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	4:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
27.02.26	Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt	6:3
09.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	4:5
31.10.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	10:3
10.10.25	Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt	4:3
14.04.25	Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt	3:2 OT
11.04.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	3:0
09.04.25	Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt	2:1

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