Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Ermak Angarsk		Sokol Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.3	1.51
	4.59	4.28	1.54
	4.8	4.8	1.52	Watch
	4.6	4.6	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (4.48)	4.5 ↑ (4.26)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
19.9%

Draw
20.3%

Sokol Krasnoyarsk
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

21.3%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

21%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sokol Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 1.

Ermak is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sokol Krasnoyarsk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sokol Krasnoyarsk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sokol Krasnoyarsk is a favorite.

Last 45 head-to-head matches Ermak won 21 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 23 matches and goals 110-120.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 54-54.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
30.11.22	Ermak Angarsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:6 ✺
28.11.22	Ermak Angarsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 ✺
24.11.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:1 ✺
16.11.22	Omskie Krylia - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 penalties ✺
14.11.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Ermak Angarsk	9:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWL
- Sokol Krasnoyarsk
VHL
28.11.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 penalties ✺
26.11.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Omskie Krylia	4:2 ✺
24.11.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:1 ✺
18.11.22	Omskie Krylia - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	0:2 ✺
16.11.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.11.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:1
03.12.21	Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:3
25.11.21	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ermak Angarsk	2:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.21	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ermak Angarsk	Canceled
04.08.21	Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	0:3
VHL
16.02.21	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ermak Angarsk	6:3
08.09.20	Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:1

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