Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday


	Ermak Angarsk		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.75	1.87
	3.23	3.64	1.89
	3.38	4.1	1.87	Watch
	3.25	3.85	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	3.84 ↓ (4)	1.89 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
28%

Draw
23.7%

Zauralie Kurgan
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

23.4%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

23.7%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 2.

Recent matches Ermak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zauralie is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zauralie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zauralie have a series of home games.

Zauralie will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Ermak won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 56-74.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-39.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
28.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Chelmet	3:4 OT ✺
26.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 ✺
19.09.22	Buran Voronezh - Ermak Angarsk	4:1 ✺
17.09.22	Rostov - Ermak Angarsk	3:6 ✺
11.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - AKM	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLWL
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
25.09.22	Zauralie Kurgan - SKA-VMF	3:5 ✺
23.09.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
21.09.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:1 penalties ✺
19.09.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Rubin Tyumen	1:2 penalties ✺
14.09.22	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.01.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	4:5 OT
15.10.21	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3
24.01.21	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:4
08.01.21	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	1:0
22.01.20	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1
05.11.19	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 OT
15.12.18	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3

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