Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Izhstal		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.60	3.12
	1.81	3.50	3.05
	1.91	3.95	3.44	Watch
	1.92	3.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.17)	3.73 ↓ (3.9)	3.22 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
48%

Draw
24.1%

Zauralie Kurgan
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

24%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

24.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Izhstal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zauralie Kurgan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Izhstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Izhstal (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Izhstal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
59. Sukhachyov V. (G)	21. Nikishin M. (G)
23. Glebov G. (C)	74. Spitsenko K.
50. Zhdanov Y.	33. Bochkov I. (C)
41. Lukin V.	88. Rybakov V. (A)
10. Astashevsky S. (A)	27. Shipin D.
69. Maklozyan Y.	47. Grymzin S.
Line 2
79. Tikhonov M.	62. Smyshlyayev P.
3. Zubarev A.	16. Avvakumov I.
19. Alekseev A.	28. Pishchalnikov P.
7. Pukelo K.	14. Volgin I.
39. Kovalyov A.	83. Shamshurin S.
Line 3
92. Murylev A.	95. Dautov M.
32. Rogov I.	11. Zakharov N.
87. Gordin A.	8. Galiaskarov E.
78. Komaristy A. (A)	73. Ivanov M.
28. Rakcheyev N.	72. Luchenkov S.
Line 4
36. Martynov K.	70. Kolmagorov K.
89. Yatsenko A.	97. Bogdanov A. (A)
70. Shilov A.	10. Sokolov A.
9. Zhabreyev A.	82. Shiryayev I.
71. Dolgopyatov N.
Substitutes
33. Lysenkov N. (G)	30. Skovronsky A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
08:34, 0 - 1, Ivanov M. (G), Dautov M. (A), Spitsenko K. (A2)
18:16, 0 - 2, Ivanov M. (G), Kolmagorov K. (A), Luchenkov S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
18:03, 1 - 2, Maklozyan Y. (G), Glebov G. (A), Astashevsky S. (A2)
19:54, 2 - 2, Lukin V. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
16:30, 2 - 3, Galiaskarov E. (G), Ivanov M. (A), Luchenkov S. (A2)
18:10, 2 - 4, Pishchalnikov P. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 2.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Recently, Izhstal has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Zauralie has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Izhstal holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Izhstal has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:73 (averaging 2.3:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Izhstal against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 19:28 goals (averaging 1.9:2.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
27	Kurgan	17	2	2	4	9	30:49	12
30	Izhevsk	18	2	2	2	12	40:57	10

Last Results with these Odds

Izhstal - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.19%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
20.10.26	Izhstal - Omskie Krylia	0:3 ✺
15.10.26	Dynamo-Altay - Izhstal	0:3 ✺
13.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal	3:2 penalties ✺
11.10.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Izhstal	3:2 ✺
08.10.26	Norilsk - Izhstal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
20.10.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	3:1 ✺
15.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Kristall Saratov	2:4 ✺
13.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
11.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Tambov	0:3 ✺
09.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Buran Voronezh	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
26.12.25	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1
23.11.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Izhstal	3:4
04.03.25	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2
18.09.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Izhstal	9:0
14.02.24	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	1:4
10.09.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Izhstal	3:2
15.02.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Izhstal	5:4

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