Match Info

Date: 26 September 2022, Monday


	Ermak Angarsk		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.8	1.85
	3.16	3.7	1.9
	3.34	4.1	1.88	Watch
	3.25	3.9	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.57)	3.88 ↑ (3.86)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
28.2%

Draw
23.5%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

23.8%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

23.3%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Yuzhny Ural have a series of home games.

Yuzhny Ural will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Ermak won 18 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 83-82.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 41-35.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
19.09.22	Buran Voronezh - Ermak Angarsk	4:1 ✺
17.09.22	Rostov - Ermak Angarsk	3:6 ✺
11.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - AKM	4:5 ✺
08.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
06.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Lada Togliatti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLL
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
21.09.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - SKA-VMF	1:2 ✺
19.09.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3 ✺
17.09.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3 OT ✺
15.09.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:4 OT ✺
10.09.22	Izhstal - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
13.01.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk	3:1
13.10.21	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 OT
20.01.21	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:5 OT
05.01.21	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk	5:2
18.01.20	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2
09.11.19	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:2
09.12.18	Ermak Angarsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:5

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