Match Info

HockeyEttan Norra

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	HockeyEttan TV


	Falu		Surahammar

	1	X	2
	1.87	4	3
	1.9	3.73	2.94
	1.86	4.23	3.19	Watch
	1.85	3.9	3
	1.88	4.05	3.15
	2	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	3.99 ↓ (4.22)	3 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falu
47.5%

Draw
22.6%

Surahammar
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

21.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

23.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Surahammar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falu than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surahammar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Falu - Surahammar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
04:49, 0 - 1, Lindstrom M. (G), Rydell L. (A), Ekman W. (A2)
13:55, 1 - 1, Hasselgren P. (G), Danielsen W. (A), Axforsen J. (A2)
16:27, 1 - 2, Joona M. (G), Dahlberg A. (A), Filipson F. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:34, 1 - 3, Joona M. (G), Hedqvist W. (A), Hansson A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:41, 1 - 4, Henze L. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falu won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Surahammar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Surahammar has had a series of home games.

Falu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Falu will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Falu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 2.1:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Falu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 2.7:5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	Surahammar	4	1	0	1	2	7:11	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falu IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
01.02.26	Örnsköldsviks - Falu	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Clemensnäs - Falu	0:5 ✺
28.01.26	Wings Arlanda - Falu	2:5 ✺
21.01.26	Falu - Hudiksvall	3:4 penalties ✺
18.01.26	Falu - Piteå HC	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLW
- Surahammars IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
31.01.26	Surahammar - Strömsbro	3:4 penalties ✺
28.01.26	Sollentuna - Surahammar	3:4 penalties ✺
25.01.26	Surahammar - Örnsköldsviks	3:4 ✺
24.01.26	Surahammar - Clemensnäs	4:1 ✺
21.01.26	Surahammar - Norrtälje	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
02.11.25	Surahammar - Falu	5:3
Swedish HockeyEttan Norra Var
14.02.24	Falu - Surahammar	4:3 OT
28.12.23	Surahammar - Falu	0:1
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
22.11.23	Surahammar - Falu	5:0
11.10.23	Falu - Surahammar	2:6
02.04.17	Surahammar - Falu	4:3 OT
19.03.17	Falu - Surahammar	2:6

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