Match Info

HUNGARY: Erste Liga

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Tuskecsarnok (Budapest)


	Ferencvárosi		DEAC Debrecen

	1	X	2
	1.93	4.15	2.9
	1.91	3.91	3.12
	1.92	4.05	3.2	Watch
	1.92	4.35	2.94
	1.93	4.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.93)	4.12 ↓ (4.33)	3.01 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
47.5%

Draw
22.2%

DEAC Debrecen
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

21.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

20.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ferencvárosi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

DEAC Debrecen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DEAC Debrecen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ferencvárosi - DEAC Debrecen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
59. Arany G. (G)	74. Szeles M. (G)
23. Karmeniemi L.	6. Jakabfy S.
44. Tyni P.	60. Kloz V. (C)
40. Booth D.	21. Mihalik A. (A)
9. Brady A. (C)	96. Novotny D. (A)
88. Turbucz M. (A)	2. Atlas V.
Line 2
10. Crespi J.	41. Dobmayer D.
27. Seregely M.	23. Ustinenko N.
18. Mattyasovszky G.	66. Tsulygin I.
25. Kestila A.	47. Galoha K.
14. Molnar D.	11. Mozer Y.
Line 3
97. Hrabal J.	34. Bukor R.
26. Ban K.	76. Eliseev T.
66. Toth G. (A)	12. Shenfeld A.
20. Ring L.	29. Kreisz B.
11. Banga N.	25. Buchkin M.
Line 4
6. Haranghy B.	28. Jakabfy C.
8. Karpati K.	77. Smirnov M.
69. Nemeth A.	9. Kozma F.
7. Nichol T.	16. Mihalik G.
94. Galajda Z.
Substitutes
98. Kalnins J. (G)	1. Bence N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
09:26, 0 - 1, Mozer Y. (G), Galoha K. (A), Tsulygin I. (A2)
09:48, 0 - 2, Shenfeld A. (G), Buchkin M. (A), Kloz V. (A2)
12:17, 1 - 2, Mattyasovszky G. (G), Molnar D. (A), Karmeniemi L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:06, 2 - 2, Mattyasovszky G. (G), Hrabal J. (A), Kestila A. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 4)
01:18, 3 - 2, Kestila A. (G), Ring L. (A),
04:08, 3 - 3, Kozma F. (G),
07:26, 4 - 3, Molnar D. (G), Karmeniemi L. (A),
11:06, 4 - 4, Tsulygin I. (G), Galoha K. (A), Eliseev T. (A2)
17:55, 4 - 5, Galoha K. (G), Mozer Y. (A),
18:59, 4 - 6, Kloz V. (G), Mihalik A. (A),
19:49, 5 - 6, Kestila A. (G), Ring L. (A),

Preview

Ferencvárosi is Qualified for Erste Liga (Play Offs )

DEAC is Qualified for Erste Liga (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 3.

Ferencvárosi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches DEAC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferencvárosi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ferencvárosi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 76:54 (average 3.8:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferencvárosi won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 39:19 (average 4.3:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Ferencvárosi - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC Hockey
Hungarian Cup Hockey
31.01.25	DEAC Debrecen - Ferencvárosi	2:4 ✺
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
29.01.25	Ferencvárosi - Budapest Jégkorong Akadémia	3:4 ✺
26.01.25	Ferencvárosi - Feha19	4:3 ✺
24.01.25	Dunaújvárosi Acélbikák - Ferencvárosi	1:8 ✺
19.01.25	Corona Brașov - Ferencvárosi	3:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW
- DEAC Debrecen Hockey
Hungarian Cup Hockey
31.01.25	DEAC Debrecen - Ferencvárosi	2:4 ✺
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
26.01.25	DEAC Debrecen - Corona Brașov	4:2 ✺
24.01.25	Újpest - DEAC Debrecen	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	DVTK Jegesmedvék - DEAC Debrecen	1:2 penalties ✺
17.01.25	DEAC Debrecen - Feha19	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian Cup Hockey
31.01.25	DEAC Debrecen - Ferencvárosi	2:4
Hungarian Erste Liga Hockey
20.12.24	DEAC Debrecen - Ferencvárosi	5:1
25.10.24	Ferencvárosi - DEAC Debrecen	5:2
13.09.24	DEAC Debrecen - Ferencvárosi	7:4
16.03.24	Ferencvárosi - DEAC Debrecen	2:0
13.03.24	DEAC Debrecen - Ferencvárosi	3:2
12.03.24	DEAC Debrecen - Ferencvárosi	1:4

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