Match Info

WORLD: NHL 4 Nations Face-Off

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: TD Garden (Boston, MA) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	05:00	ESPN
Canada	13:00	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet+, TVA Sports
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Action, Voyo
Denmark	19:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Nelonen, Ruutu+
Germany	19:00	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Iceland	18:00	Viaplay
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV4
Slovakia	19:00	Dajto, Voyo
Sweden	19:00	TV6, Viaplay
Usa	13:00	Max, TNT, truTV


	Finland		Canada

	1	X	2
	5.75	5.65	1.42
	6.13	5.54	1.43
	5.9	5.57	1.42	Watch
	4.8	5	1.4
	6.4	5.79	1.42
	5.75	5.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.79 ↑ (1.47)	5.53 ↑ (5.42)	1.42 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finland
16.3%

Draw
17.1%

Canada
66.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.2%

17.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-47.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Finland's form might have worsened.

Canada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+48.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canada's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	0%	95.8%

Finland - Canada Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Canada will win (votes: 23 - 95.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Canada: 87.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Lankinen K. (G) Vancouver Canucks	50. Binnington J. (G) St. Louis Blues
23. Lindell E. Dallas Stars	8. Makar C. Colorado Avalanche
77. Mikkola N. Florida Panthers	5. Toews D. Colorado Avalanche
96. Rantanen M. Carolina Hurricanes	21. Point B. Tampa Bay Lightning
16. Barkov A. (C) Florida Panthers	97. McDavid C. (A) Edmonton Oilers
84. Kakko K. Seattle Kraken	61. Stone M. Vegas Golden Knights
Line 2
10. Jokiharju H. Buffalo Sabres	55. Parayko C. St. Louis Blues
3. Maatta O. Utah	44. Morrissey J. Winnipeg Jets
64. Granlund Mik. (A) Dallas Stars	13. Reinhart S. Florida Panthers
20. Aho S. (A) Carolina Hurricanes	29. MacKinnon N. Colorado Avalanche
24. Hintz R. Dallas Stars	87. Crosby S. (C) Pittsburgh Penguins
Line 3
33. Matinpalo N. Ottawa Senators	89. Doughty D. Los Angeles Kings
18. Vaakanainen U. New York Rangers	6. Sanheim T. Philadelphia Flyers
92. Laine P. Montreal Canadiens	16. Marner M. Toronto Maple Leafs
15. Lundell A. Florida Panthers	71. Cirelli A. Tampa Bay Lightning
27. Luostarinen E. Florida Panthers	38. Hagel B. Tampa Bay Lightning
Line 4
40. Armia J. Montreal Canadiens	11. Konecny T. Philadelphia Flyers
56. Haula E. New Jersey Devils	9. Bennett S. Florida Panthers
62. Lehkonen A. Colorado Avalanche	63. Marchand B. (A) Boston Bruins
Substitutes
74. Saros J. (G) Nashville Predators	33. Hill A. (G) Vegas Golden Knights
Coaches
. Pennanen A.	. Cooper J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
04:13, 0 - 1, McDavid C. (G),
04:59, 0 - 2, MacKinnon N. (G), Reinhart S. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
13:02, 0 - 3, Point B. (G), Sanheim T. (A), McDavid C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:03, 0 - 4, MacKinnon N. (G), Crosby S. (A), Reinhart S. (A2)
05:03, Lankinen K. ↓, Saros J. ↑,
15:25, Toews D. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
13:19, 1 - 4, Lindell E. (G), Lehkonen A. (A),
18:20, 2 - 4, Granlund Mik. (G), Laine P. (A),
18:43, 3 - 4, Granlund Mik. (G), Barkov A. (A), Aho S. (A2)
19:04, 3 - 5, Crosby S. (G), Reinhart S. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Finland won 2.

Finland is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Canada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Finland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Canada is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Finland won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 45:41 (average 2.6:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland hockey
NHL 4 Nations Face Off
15.02.25	Sweden - Finland	3:4 OT ✺
13.02.25	Finland - USA	1:6 ✺
Euro Hockey Tour - Sweden Hockey Games
09.02.25	Sweden - Finland	1:4 ✺
08.02.25	Finland - Czech Republic	3:0 ✺
06.02.25	Switzerland - Finland	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW
- Canada hockey
NHL 4 Nations Face Off
15.02.25	Canada - USA	1:3 ✺
12.02.25	Sweden - Canada	3:4 OT ✺
Spengler Cup
30.12.24	Canada - Straubing Tigers	2:4 ✺
28.12.24	Canada - Straubing Tigers	6:3 ✺
26.12.24	Davos - Canada	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
18.05.24	Canada - Finland	5:3
25.05.23	Canada - Finland	4:1
29.05.22	Finland - Canada	4:3 OT
Euro Hockey Tour - Channel One Cup
18.12.21	Finland - Canada	4:1
IIHF World Championship
06.06.21	Finland - Canada	2:3 OT
01.06.21	Canada - Finland	2:3 penalties
26.05.19	Canada - Finland	1:3

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