Match Info

SWEDEN: HockeyEttan Vastra - Round 12

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday


	Forshaga		Mariestad BoIS

	1	X	2
	3.35	4.2	1.72
	3.63	3.84	1.76
	3.74	3.99	1.78	Watch
	3.4	4	1.7
	3.41	4.2	1.79
	3.35	4.2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)	4.07 ↓ (4.2)	1.75 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forshaga
26%

Draw
22.2%

Mariestad BoIS
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

21.8%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

21.1%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forshaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mariestad BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Forshaga aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariestad BoIS than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Forshaga - Mariestad BoIS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:35, 0 - 1, Blomberg A. (G), Loof L. (A), Nilsson Westlund V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:48, 1 - 1, Ek Koskela H. (G), Ringman J. (A), Hedlund P. (A2)
14:00, 2 - 1, Rasch C. (G), Ek Koskela H. (A), Enqvist L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:52, 3 - 1, Smith L. (G), Olsson F. (A), Stark V. (A2)
07:53, 3 - 2, Blomberg A. (G), Weino W. (A), Aronsson T. (A2)
14:13, 4 - 2, Enqvist L. (G), Smith L. (A), Rasch C. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forshaga won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mariestad will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Forshaga won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 38:70 (average 1.9:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Forshaga won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:24 (average 1.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forshaga IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
13.11.24	Dalen - Forshaga	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Forshaga - Grästorps	4:3 penalties ✺
26.10.24	Borås - Forshaga	5:2 ✺
23.10.24	Forshaga - Borlänge	4:1 ✺
20.10.24	Tranås - Forshaga	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Mariestad BoIS HC
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
13.11.24	Mariestad BoIS - Falu	1:0 OT ✺
02.11.24	Borås - Mariestad BoIS	5:2 ✺
27.10.24	Grästorps - Mariestad BoIS	2:5 ✺
25.10.24	Mariestad BoIS - Tranås	2:1 OT ✺
18.10.24	Dalen - Mariestad BoIS	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
27.09.24	Mariestad BoIS - Forshaga	6:3
04.11.23	Forshaga - Mariestad BoIS	1:4
30.09.23	Mariestad BoIS - Forshaga	5:2
20.11.22	Forshaga - Mariestad BoIS	3:2
09.10.22	Mariestad BoIS - Forshaga	2:0
03.11.21	Forshaga - Mariestad BoIS	2:3
06.10.21	Mariestad BoIS - Forshaga	3:4 OT

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