Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	Forssan Palloseura		Koovee

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.2	2.4
	1.96	4.5	2.9
	2.1	4.3	2.49
	2.22	4.16	2.74
	2.4	4	2.3
	2.11	4.3	2.71
	2.16	4.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (3.09)	4.22 ↑ (4.2)	2.59 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forssan Palloseura
42.4%

Draw
21.9%

Koovee
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

22%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

20.4%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forssan Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forssan Palloseura's performance.

Koovee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Koovee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forssan Palloseura than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forssan Palloseura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koovee than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Koovee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Forssan Palloseura - Koovee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

FPS is Mestis (Relegation)

Last 5 head-to-head matches FPS won 3.

FPS is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Koovee has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

FPS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently FPS have a series of guest games.

Recently Koovee have a series of home games.

Koovee will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 31 head-to-head matches FPS won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 92-94.

Including matches at home between the teams FPS won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 47-39.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forssan Palloseura
Finnish Mestis
23.02.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	1:2 ✺
21.02.24	Kiekko-Vantaa - Forssan Palloseura	6:1 ✺
17.02.24	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Forssan Palloseura	5:4 OT ✺
16.02.24	Imatran Ketterä - Forssan Palloseura	6:3 ✺
10.02.24	Koovee - Forssan Palloseura	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLLW
- Koovee Hockey
Finnish Mestis
22.02.24	Koovee - Imatran Ketterä	2:3 ✺
16.02.24	Koovee - Kiekko-Espoo	1:5 ✺
13.02.24	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Koovee	6:0 ✺
10.02.24	Koovee - Forssan Palloseura	2:4 ✺
09.02.24	Koovee - TuTo	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
10.02.24	Koovee - Forssan Palloseura	2:4
21.10.23	Forssan Palloseura - Koovee	4:1
11.10.23	Koovee - Forssan Palloseura	5:2
24.02.23	Forssan Palloseura - Koovee	3:2 OT
21.02.23	Koovee - Forssan Palloseura	4:3
21.01.23	Forssan Palloseura - Koovee	1:3
29.10.22	Koovee - Forssan Palloseura	5:3

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