Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS - RELEGATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo


	Forssan Palloseura		Hokki

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.2	1.9
	3.2	4.2	1.89	Watch
	3.16	4.2	2
	3.16	4.16	2
	2.88	4.33	1.85
	3.19	4.2	1.91
	3.1	4.2	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.75)	4.21 ↓ (4.3)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forssan Palloseura
29.7%

Draw
22%

Hokki
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

21.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

19.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forssan Palloseura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Hokki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forssan Palloseura than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Forssan Palloseura - Hokki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:02, Selanne E. (G), Yli-Suutala S. (A), Komulainen T. (A2)
16:43, Selanne E. (G), Pellikka A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 3)
03:52, Tiuraniemi V. (G), Mikkola N. (A), Komulainen T. (A2)
11:41, Myllyaho A. (G), Jokinen J. (A),
13:52, Fagerstrom J. (G), Pasonen O. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
16:04, Pasonen O. (G), Saarinen R. (A),
19:16, Selanne E. (G), Jokinen J. (A),

Preview

4th leg. Hokki leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches FPS won 1.

FPS is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hokki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hokki will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches FPS won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 64-60.

Including matches at home between the teams FPS won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forssan Palloseura
Finnish Mestis
19.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	4:3 ✺
15.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	5:2 ✺
07.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Kiekko-Espoo	5:6 penalties ✺
02.03.24	Hermes Kokkola - Forssan Palloseura	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLL
- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
19.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	4:3 ✺
15.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	5:2 ✺
07.03.24	Hokki - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	2:4 ✺
01.03.24	RoKi - Hokki	6:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
19.03.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	4:1
16.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	4:3
15.03.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	5:2
23.02.24	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	1:2
19.01.24	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	4:0
15.12.23	Forssan Palloseura - Hokki	5:2
29.09.23	Hokki - Forssan Palloseura	3:0

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