Match Info

WORLD: World Championship

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Ostravar Arena (Ostrava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay


	France		Slovakia

	1	X	2
	8.25	6.25	1.29	Watch
	7.75	6	1.3
	8.6	6.6	1.29
	7.7	6.42	1.27
	7.7	6.42	1.27
	8	5.8	1.3
	8.7	6.88	1.3	Watch
	9.4	7	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.26 ↑ (6.69)	6.42 ↑ (5.56)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
11.5%

Draw
14.8%

Slovakia
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

17%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

12.8%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Slovakia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for France, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovakia than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slovakia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

France - Slovakia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Slovakia will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slovakia: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Ylonen S. (G) Cergy-Pontoise	31. Hlavaj S. (G) Minnesota Wild
8. Gallet H. Tappara	14. Ceresnak P. (A) Pardubice
18. Auvitu Y. (A) Vitkovice	42. Fehervary M. Washington Capitals
90. Dair A. Grenoble	20. Slafkovsky J. Montreal Canadiens
41. Bellemare P-E. (A) Seattle Kraken	27. Hrivik M. (A) Leksand
94. Bozon T. Lausanne	34. Cehlarik P. Leksand
Line 2
27. Cantagallo E. Rouen	17. Nemec S. New Jersey Devils
62. Chakiachvili F. Rouen	29. Ivan M. Liberec
3. Bertrand C. ERC Ingolstadt	79. Hudacek L. Trinec
12. Claireaux V. Vitkovice	6. Cingel L. Kometa Brno
72. Perret J. Mountfield HK	90. Tatar T. (C) Seattle Kraken
Line 3
6. Llorca V. Angers	7. Grman M.
7. Crinon P. Grenoble	64. Koch P. Arizona Coyotes
91. Bruche B. Bordeaux	21. Kelemen M. Arizona Coyotes
29. Boudon L. Iowa Wild	76. Pospisil M. Calgary Flames
81. Rech A. Rouen	87. Regenda P. Anaheim Ducks
Line 4
74. Thiry T. Ajoie	98. Golian A. Slovan Bratislava
77. Treille S. (C) Grenoble	13. Gajdos F. Litvinov
24. Addamo J. Wheeling Nailers	56. Dano M. Trinec
95. Bozon K. Ajoie	91. Sukel M. Litvinov
	18. Kudrna A. Litvinov
Substitutes
32. Papillon Q. (G) Bordeaux	33. Skorvanek S. (G) Mountfield HK
44. Simonsen T. Amiens
Coaches
. Bozon P.	. Ramsay C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:50, Treille S. (2 min),
07:56, Bozon T. (2 min),
15:39, Regenda P. (2 min),
17:41, Regenda P. (2 min),
19:56, 0 - 1, Regenda P. (G), Grman M. (A), Cingel L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:22, Gallet H. (2 min),
01:26, Tatar T. (2 min),
02:06, Perret J. (2 min),
02:35, 0 - 2, Hudacek L. (G), Nemec S. (A), Slafkovsky J. (A2)
09:56, 0 - 3, Hudacek L. (G),
15:44, 1 - 3, Treille S. (G), Bozon T. (A), Auvitu Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:01, Ylonen S. ↓, Papillon Q. ↑,
08:24, 1 - 4, Grman M. (G), Tatar T. (A), Hudacek L. (A2)
19:53, 2 - 4, Chakiachvili F. (G), Rech A. (A),

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches France won 1.

France is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Slovak Republic is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Slovak Republic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Slovak Republic is certain favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches France won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 33-61.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France hockey
IIHF World Championship
16.05.24	USA - France	5:0 ✺
14.05.24	Poland - France	2:4 ✺
12.05.24	Latvia - France	3:2 OT ✺
11.05.24	France - Kazakhstan	1:3 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
06.05.24	Germany - France	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Slovakia hockey
IIHF World Championship
15.05.24	Slovakia - Poland	4:0 ✺
13.05.24	USA - Slovakia	4:5 OT ✺
12.05.24	Slovakia - Kazakhstan	6:2 ✺
10.05.24	Slovakia - Germany	4:6 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
07.05.24	Slovakia - USA	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
13.05.22	France - Slovakia	2:4
Friendly International Ice Hockey
07.05.22	Slovakia - France	2:0
IIHF World Championship
17.05.19	France - Slovakia	3:6
10.05.18	Slovakia - France	3:1
Friendly International Ice Hockey
28.04.18	Slovakia - France	2:3
27.04.18	Slovakia - France	4:0
Euro Ice Hockey Challenge Norway
14.12.17	France - Slovakia	2:4

France - Slovakia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide